HWH:NASDAQHWH International Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$1.05
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
HWH International Inc. (NASDAQ:HWH) is trading at $1.05, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The Relative Strength Index sits near the mid‑range (~44) and the MACD shows a modest bullish histogram, but the overall trend remains down‑trend with a bearish direction flag. Volatility is extreme at over 37% for the past 30 days and the Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” indicating market euphoria that is not supported by fundamentals.
Fundamentally, the company reports a steep revenue decline of 78%, negative operating margins, a massive EBITDA loss, and a negative ROE, while carrying a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~39). The DCF‑derived fair value ($0.33) is less than one‑third of the current price, and valuation multiples (P/B ≈3, P/S ≈12) are markedly elevated. Liquidity is a concern: daily volume is under 500 shares versus a 10‑day average of ~50,000, underscoring a thinly traded micro‑cap. Together, these factors suggest that the stock is overvalued and carries significant downside risk.
Fundamentally, the company reports a steep revenue decline of 78%, negative operating margins, a massive EBITDA loss, and a negative ROE, while carrying a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (~39). The DCF‑derived fair value ($0.33) is less than one‑third of the current price, and valuation multiples (P/B ≈3, P/S ≈12) are markedly elevated. Liquidity is a concern: daily volume is under 500 shares versus a 10‑day average of ~50,000, underscoring a thinly traded micro‑cap. Together, these factors suggest that the stock is overvalued and carries significant downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major SMAs indicating bearish momentum
- Extreme price volatility and thin trading volume
- Fundamental distress: negative margins and high debt
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value far below market price
- Continued revenue contraction and lack of profitability
- Elevated valuation multiples relative to peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Unclear path to sustainable earnings or cash‑flow generation
- High debt load with limited equity cushion (low book value per share)
- Persistent liquidity constraints in the micro‑cap market
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-78.30%
ROE-93.89%
ROA-37.01%
Debt/Equity38.75
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow$-1387496
Free Cash Flow$129.9K
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.1
Support$0.98
Resistance$1.15
MA 20$1.06
MA 50$1.16
MA 200$1.79
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.95
Valuation
Fair Value$0.33
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.05
Volatility37.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.