HWAY:NASDAQThemes US Infrastructure ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$38.35
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $38.35, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $37.22 and its 50‑day SMA of $36.66, indicating short‑term strength. It also sits well above the 200‑day SMA of $33.25, confirming a longer‑term bullish backdrop. The RSI of 58.6 points to momentum that is still below overbought levels. MACD is bullish, with the line (0.374) crossing above its signal (0.351) and a modest positive histogram. Technical support at $33 provides a clear floor, while resistance near $42.09 caps upside in the near term.
Year‑to‑date performance has surged 20.3%, outpacing many peers and reflecting strong investor appetite. Volatility over the past 30 days sits at 25.3%, suggesting price swings are pronounced but not extreme for a sector‑focused fund. A beta of 1.14 signals the ETF moves slightly more than the broader market, amplifying both gains and losses. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.29% is modest, and tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating index‑tracking concerns. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” at 89.9, underscoring prevailing market optimism. With a dividend yield of just over 1% and no premium/discount, the fund offers a clean, low‑cost exposure to U.S. infrastructure.
Year‑to‑date performance has surged 20.3%, outpacing many peers and reflecting strong investor appetite. Volatility over the past 30 days sits at 25.3%, suggesting price swings are pronounced but not extreme for a sector‑focused fund. A beta of 1.14 signals the ETF moves slightly more than the broader market, amplifying both gains and losses. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.29% is modest, and tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating index‑tracking concerns. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” at 89.9, underscoring prevailing market optimism. With a dividend yield of just over 1% and no premium/discount, the fund offers a clean, low‑cost exposure to U.S. infrastructure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and SMA alignment
- YTD return >20% indicating momentum
- Support level at $33 provides downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Beta above 1 suggests heightened volatility
- Infrastructure spending outlook remains uncertain amid fiscal debates
- Liquidity constraints may limit large position adjustments
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for U.S. infrastructure upgrades
- Low expense ratio enhances net returns over time
- Zero tracking error ensures faithful index replication
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.29%
AUM$3.3M
Inception Date2024-09-11
Avg Daily Volume490
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.07%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI58.6
Support$33.00
Resistance$42.09
MA 20$37.22
MA 50$36.66
MA 200$33.25
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Risk Assessment
Beta1.14
Volatility25.31%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.