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HWAY:NASDAQThemes US Infrastructure ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$38.35

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $38.35, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $37.22 and its 50‑day SMA of $36.66, indicating short‑term strength. It also sits well above the 200‑day SMA of $33.25, confirming a longer‑term bullish backdrop. The RSI of 58.6 points to momentum that is still below overbought levels. MACD is bullish, with the line (0.374) crossing above its signal (0.351) and a modest positive histogram. Technical support at $33 provides a clear floor, while resistance near $42.09 caps upside in the near term.
Year‑to‑date performance has surged 20.3%, outpacing many peers and reflecting strong investor appetite. Volatility over the past 30 days sits at 25.3%, suggesting price swings are pronounced but not extreme for a sector‑focused fund. A beta of 1.14 signals the ETF moves slightly more than the broader market, amplifying both gains and losses. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.29% is modest, and tracking error is effectively zero, eliminating index‑tracking concerns. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” at 89.9, underscoring prevailing market optimism. With a dividend yield of just over 1% and no premium/discount, the fund offers a clean, low‑cost exposure to U.S. infrastructure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and SMA alignment
  • YTD return >20% indicating momentum
  • Support level at $33 provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Beta above 1 suggests heightened volatility
  • Infrastructure spending outlook remains uncertain amid fiscal debates
  • Liquidity constraints may limit large position adjustments

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for U.S. infrastructure upgrades
  • Low expense ratio enhances net returns over time
  • Zero tracking error ensures faithful index replication

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.29%
AUM$3.3M
Inception Date2024-09-11
Avg Daily Volume490
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.07%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.6
Support$33.00
Resistance$42.09
MA 20$37.22
MA 50$36.66
MA 200$33.25
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta1.14
Volatility25.31%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.