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HWAY:NASDAQThemes US Infrastructure ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-09 - not real-time

$35.12

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Themes US Infrastructure ETF (HWAY) is trading at $35.12, exactly at its calculated resistance level, while comfortably above its 20‑day ($33.09), 50‑day ($34.33) and 200‑day ($31.47) SMAs, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. RSI sits at 61.9, well above the neutral 50 mark, and the MACD histogram is positive with a bullish signal despite the MACD line still being slightly negative, suggesting upward momentum may still be intact. However, the 30‑day volatility of 28.3% is elevated and the volume trend is decreasing, which could pressure price stability near the resistance. The fund’s expense ratio of 0.29% is modest, and a dividend yield of 1.21% adds a small income component, while the maximum drawdown of ‑12.6% reflects moderate downside risk. Market sentiment, as measured by the Fear & Greed Index, is in “Extreme Greed” territory (83.34), implying broader investor enthusiasm that may lift the ETF further if infrastructure spending remains strong.
In the medium to long term, the ETF benefits from a focused infrastructure theme, a beta of roughly 1.07 indicating near‑market volatility, zero tracking error, and a clean premium/discount profile. The YTD return of 7.05% showcases early upside despite limited historical data, and the low turnover suggests a stable portfolio composition. While liquidity is constrained by modest average daily volumes (≈570‑1,271 shares), the absence of currency exposure and the fund’s low expense ratio mitigate many traditional risks, positioning HWAY as a potentially attractive hold for investors seeking sector‑specific exposure with a modest income stream.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price at resistance level with decreasing volume
  • High 30‑day volatility
  • Bullish technicals (RSI, MACD) still supportive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Positive YTD performance and bullish momentum indicators
  • Infrastructure spending tailwinds and sector theme strength
  • Low expense ratio and modest dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained infrastructure demand over the next decade
  • Near‑market beta providing balanced risk/return
  • Zero tracking error and stable portfolio composition

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.29%
AUM$2.6M
Inception Date2024-09-11
Avg Daily Volume570
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.21%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.9
Support$31.31
Resistance$35.12
MA 20$33.09
MA 50$34.33
MA 200$31.47
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.34

Risk Assessment

Beta1.07
Volatility28.30%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.