HUH1V:OMXHEXHuhtamaki Oyj Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
€27.13
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Huhtamäki Oyj is trading at €27.13, essentially flat on its 20‑day SMA and just below both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, confirming a short‑term bearish bias despite a modest MACD histogram that hints at a possible near‑term bounce. The RSI of 31.5 signals oversold conditions, while the low 30‑day volatility (≈5.2%) and beta of 0.16 suggest the stock moves less than the market, limiting downside risk but also curbing upside momentum.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 5.5% revenue decline, thin margins (gross 17.4%, operating 8.8%, profit 4.7%) and a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 73.6% after pricing €300 million of notes and launching a tender offer, raising concerns about leverage. The dividend yield remains attractive at 4.2% with a 62% payout, yet earnings are slipping and free cash flow, while positive, may not comfortably cover the higher debt load, casting doubt on long‑term sustainability.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 5.5% revenue decline, thin margins (gross 17.4%, operating 8.8%, profit 4.7%) and a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 73.6% after pricing €300 million of notes and launching a tender offer, raising concerns about leverage. The dividend yield remains attractive at 4.2% with a 62% payout, yet earnings are slipping and free cash flow, while positive, may not comfortably cover the higher debt load, casting doubt on long‑term sustainability.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price at 20‑day SMA with bearish trend
- oversold RSI but limited upside
- high debt issuance recent
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- stable cash flow supporting dividend
- moderate valuation gap to DCF
- uncertain earnings recovery
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- attractive dividend yield if earnings stabilize
- potential re‑rating as market re‑prices debt load
- low beta and defensive packaging demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-5.50%
Profit Margin4.71%
P/E Ratio15.4
ROE9.28%
ROA3.97%
Debt/Equity73.65
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow€506.3M
Free Cash Flow€233.0M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI31.5
Support€27.13
Resistance€27.13
MA 20€27.13
MA 50€27.58
MA 200€29.57
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value€17.97
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.20%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.16
Volatility5.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.