We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

HUH1V:OMXHEXHuhtamaki Oyj Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

€27.13

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Huhtamäki Oyj is trading at €27.13, essentially flat on its 20‑day SMA and just below both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, confirming a short‑term bearish bias despite a modest MACD histogram that hints at a possible near‑term bounce. The RSI of 31.5 signals oversold conditions, while the low 30‑day volatility (≈5.2%) and beta of 0.16 suggest the stock moves less than the market, limiting downside risk but also curbing upside momentum.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 5.5% revenue decline, thin margins (gross 17.4%, operating 8.8%, profit 4.7%) and a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 73.6% after pricing €300 million of notes and launching a tender offer, raising concerns about leverage. The dividend yield remains attractive at 4.2% with a 62% payout, yet earnings are slipping and free cash flow, while positive, may not comfortably cover the higher debt load, casting doubt on long‑term sustainability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price at 20‑day SMA with bearish trend
  • oversold RSI but limited upside
  • high debt issuance recent

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • stable cash flow supporting dividend
  • moderate valuation gap to DCF
  • uncertain earnings recovery

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • attractive dividend yield if earnings stabilize
  • potential re‑rating as market re‑prices debt load
  • low beta and defensive packaging demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-5.50%
Profit Margin4.71%
P/E Ratio15.4
ROE9.28%
ROA3.97%
Debt/Equity73.65
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash Flow€506.3M
Free Cash Flow€233.0M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.5
Support€27.13
Resistance€27.13
MA 20€27.13
MA 50€27.58
MA 200€29.57
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value€17.97
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.20%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility5.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.