HUH1V:OMXHEXHuhtamaki Oyj Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
€29.06
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading around the 20‑day SMA, which sits just above the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. RSI is in the mid‑30s, suggesting the shares are approaching oversold territory. The MACD line remains below its signal line, generating a bearish histogram and signaling downward momentum. Current market price is well above the DCF fair value, creating a sizeable overvaluation gap. The dividend yield sits near 4 % with a payout ratio around 60 %, offering income appeal. Volume has been stable, and the beta is low, implying limited price swings relative to the market.
Recent financial statements show a decline in net sales year‑over‑year, driven by adverse currency effects, though operating cash flow remains positive. Gross margin and operating margin are modest, and free cash flow comfortably covers the dividend, supporting sustainability. The company’s global footprint across North America, Europe and Asia spreads geographic risk but also exposes it to multiple currencies. With a market‑cap of roughly €3 bn and a solid balance sheet, liquidity risk is low. Given the overvalued pricing and muted growth, the outlook leans toward a cautious stance. Investors should weigh the attractive dividend against the valuation premium and the recent sales weakness.
Recent financial statements show a decline in net sales year‑over‑year, driven by adverse currency effects, though operating cash flow remains positive. Gross margin and operating margin are modest, and free cash flow comfortably covers the dividend, supporting sustainability. The company’s global footprint across North America, Europe and Asia spreads geographic risk but also exposes it to multiple currencies. With a market‑cap of roughly €3 bn and a solid balance sheet, liquidity risk is low. Given the overvalued pricing and muted growth, the outlook leans toward a cautious stance. Investors should weigh the attractive dividend against the valuation premium and the recent sales weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD divergence
- RSI indicating oversold conditions
- Price approaching support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield
- Stable cash flow generation
- Valuation gap remains
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant overvaluation vs DCF
- Negative revenue growth
- Cyclical exposure in consumer packaging
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-7.40%
Profit Margin4.84%
P/E Ratio15.9
ROE9.81%
ROA4.09%
Debt/Equity82.06
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow€477.0M
Free Cash Flow€199.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI35.2
Support€28.94
Resistance€32.14
MA 20€30.64
MA 50€30.45
MA 200€30.16
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.02
Valuation
Fair Value€14.84
Target Price€36.19
Upside/Downside24.54%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.89%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility21.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.