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HPQ:NYSEHP Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$21.90

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

HP Inc. trades around $21.9, delivering a PE of 8.3, far below the computer‑hardware industry average of ~39. The company posted 6.9% revenue growth and a free‑cash‑flow conversion of roughly $2.8 B, supporting its 5.7% dividend yield. With a payout ratio of 44%, the dividend appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow. However, HP carries $10.9 B of debt against $3.2 B of cash and a negative book value per share, raising balance‑sheet concerns. The DCF model implies a fair value near $45, suggesting a substantial upside relative to the current price, while analyst consensus targets hover around $20, indicating mixed expectations. Overall, the fundamentals paint a value‑oriented case with attractive income.
Technically, the stock sits above its 20‑day (≈$20.9) and 50‑day (≈$19.9) moving averages but below the 200‑day level, yielding a neutral trend. RSI at 61 signals modest momentum, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at short‑term pressure. Support near $19.5 and resistance around $22.8 frame the near‑term range. Recent news of a fresh dividend declaration and corporate resolutions to spur growth have lifted the share price, while the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment adds bullish bias. Volatility remains high at 45% over 30 days, and beta near 1 suggests the stock moves with the broader market, warranting caution. In this context, investors may consider a hold stance in the short run, with a tilt toward buying on dips.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield remains attractive
  • Price near resistance with bearish MACD
  • Support level provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low PE vs industry
  • Strong free cash flow supports dividend
  • Potential upside to DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Balance‑sheet leverage limits aggressive upside
  • Stable cash flow and dividend income
  • Sector demand for PCs and printing remains steady

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth6.90%
Profit Margin4.46%
P/E Ratio8.3
ROA5.62%
P/B Ratio-26.2
Op. Cash Flow$3.7B
Free Cash Flow$2.8B
Industry P/E39.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.5
Support$19.50
Resistance$22.78
MA 20$20.93
MA 50$19.85
MA 200$23.10
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair Value$45.26
Target Price$19.62
Upside/Downside-10.42%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.95
Volatility45.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.