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HOPE:NASDAQHope Bancorp, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$12.12

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hope Bancorp is trading around $12.12, just above its near‑term support of $11.70 and below the 20‑day SMA of $12.37, indicating a price that is testing a key technical floor while the broader trend remains bullish. Revenue growth of 18% YoY and an operating margin above 30% highlight strong operational performance, yet the latest quarter showed a slight revenue miss against forecasts, tempering momentum. The stock offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.6%, but a payout ratio exceeding 100% and zero free cash flow raise questions about sustainability. Valuation metrics are mixed: a trailing PE of 22 sits well above the industry average of 16.7, suggesting overvaluation, while a forward PE of 7.6 and a DCF‑derived fair value imply upside potential of roughly 18% relative to the current price. Recent analyst attention, including UBS increasing exposure, and an earnings surprise on EPS reinforce interest, but decreasing volume and a high 30‑day volatility of 24% point to heightened short‑term risk.
Overall, the company sits at the intersection of growth and value, with solid earnings power and a generous dividend offset by sector headwinds in regional banking and regulatory scrutiny. Investors should weigh the upside from a potentially undervalued price against the dividend sustainability concerns and elevated market volatility when deciding on positioning.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering near technical support
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Mixed earnings signals (EPS beat, revenue miss)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to DCF and forward PE
  • Strong revenue growth and operating margins
  • Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Blend of growth and value characteristics
  • Sector headwinds for regional banks
  • Potential dividend policy adjustments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.40%
Profit Margin14.70%
P/E Ratio22.0
ROE3.15%
ROA0.39%
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$151.7M
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.6
Support$11.70
Resistance$13.02
MA 20$12.37
MA 50$11.82
MA 200$11.25
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

Fair Value$24.05
Target Price$14.38
Upside/Downside18.61%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.63%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.09
Volatility24.29%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.