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HON:NASDAQHoneywell International Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

$229.01

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Honeywell (HON) is trading at $229.01, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 224.99 and 50‑day SMA of 221.95, while the 200‑day SMA sits at 213.41, indicating a bullish technical backdrop. The MACD histogram is positive (0.90) and the signal line is bullish, but the RSI of 56 suggests room for upside before overbought conditions. Recent material news confirms the imminent spin‑off of the aerospace unit on June 29, a move that could sharpen the remaining business’s focus on industrial automation and sustainability solutions. Analysts have reaffirmed the FY‑2026 earnings outlook of $10.35‑$10.65 EPS, yet a modest earnings‑outlook miss caused a short‑term dip, highlighting spin‑off execution risk. The company’s dividend yield of 2.08% and a payout ratio near 74% remain attractive, supported by solid operating cash flow of $5.16 B. While the DCF fair value of $27.65 starkly contrasts the market price, the consensus target median of $242.24 implies a modest upside of roughly 7.7% over current levels.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Spin‑off execution uncertainty
  • Price near resistance at $239.94
  • Bullish technicals but modest upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential valuation uplift post‑spin‑off
  • Strong cash generation and dividend yield
  • Strategic acquisition pipeline in automation

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained ROE of ~24% and industry leadership
  • Dividend income and defensive cash flow
  • Premium valuation relative to earnings multiples

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.40%
Profit Margin10.89%
P/E Ratio36.6
ROE24.26%
ROA5.95%
Debt/Equity257.39
P/B Ratio10.7
Op. Cash Flow$5.2B
Free Cash Flow$2.9B
Industry P/E31.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.2
Support$205.52
Resistance$239.94
MA 20$224.99
MA 50$221.95
MA 200$213.41
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value$27.65
Target Price$246.67
Upside/Downside7.71%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.08%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.86
Volatility36.03%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.