HNGE:NYSEHinge Health, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-03 - not real-time
$84.05
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hinge Health (HNGE) is trading at $84.05, comfortably above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs (70.7, 59.6 and 48.8), and the MACD line sits bullishly above its signal (6.99 vs 5.73). However, the RSI has surged to 84, flagging an overbought condition just shy of the 86.66 resistance level. Volume is on an upward trend, reinforcing the current bullish bias, while the 30‑day volatility of ~46% and a beta of 1.25 signal pronounced price swings.
On the fundamentals side, revenue jumped 47% YoY to $646 M with an impressive 81% gross margin and a 17.6% operating margin, and the company generated $447 M of free cash flow. Despite a trailing loss (‑78.9% profit margin) and a negative EPS of –$8.92, forward EPS is projected at $3.39, and the DCF fair‑value estimate of $212 suggests the stock is substantially undervalued relative to its intrinsic potential. Recent Investor Day guidance lifted 2026 revenue expectations to $818‑$824 M (≈40% growth) and analysts have upgraded to a “Buy” with a median target of $79, underscoring growing confidence in the company’s AI‑driven MSK platform.
On the fundamentals side, revenue jumped 47% YoY to $646 M with an impressive 81% gross margin and a 17.6% operating margin, and the company generated $447 M of free cash flow. Despite a trailing loss (‑78.9% profit margin) and a negative EPS of –$8.92, forward EPS is projected at $3.39, and the DCF fair‑value estimate of $212 suggests the stock is substantially undervalued relative to its intrinsic potential. Recent Investor Day guidance lifted 2026 revenue expectations to $818‑$824 M (≈40% growth) and analysts have upgraded to a “Buy” with a median target of $79, underscoring growing confidence in the company’s AI‑driven MSK platform.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in overbought territory (84) near resistance
- Strong upward volume and bullish MACD
- Potential short‑term pullback ahead of next earnings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 47% and raised 2026 guidance
- Positive free cash flow and low net debt
- Forward EPS turning positive and analyst “Buy” consensus
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Large addressable MSK market and AI‑driven platform scalability
- DCF fair‑value far above current price
- Sustained cash generation and minimal debt exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth47.20%
Profit Margin-78.95%
P/E Ratio24.8
ROE-136.00%
ROA-45.74%
Debt/Equity2.24
P/B Ratio58.2
Op. Cash Flow$209.6M
Free Cash Flow$446.9M
Industry P/E26.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI84.2
Support$58.15
Resistance$86.66
MA 20$70.73
MA 50$59.56
MA 200$48.76
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.59
Valuation
Fair Value$212.29
Target Price$82.07
Upside/Downside-2.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.25
Volatility46.66%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.