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HLIT:NASDAQHarmonic Inc. analysis

Data as of Sep 3, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$11.61
Risk: high
9/10High risk

Summary

Harmonic Inc. is priced at $11.61, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. With RSI at 41.8 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at $11.38 up to resistance at $15.06.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 48.4 versus a 35.7 sector average, above the peer group. Sell-side targets cluster 39.1% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 53.5% on a -10.6% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 55.0%, a beta of 1.92 and a maximum drawdown of 38.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.

Top market events

  • Harmonic Inc. HLIT shares jumped 20% to $14.40 in after-hours trading after the broadband technology company posted...
  • Updated Aug 13, 2026 0 SAN JOSE, Calif., Aug. 13, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Harmonic NASDAQ: HLIT today announced that...
  • Harmonic NASDAQ: HLIT today announced it will release its second quarter 2026 financial results after the market close...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 11.37
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day volatility of 55.0%

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 48.4 versus sector average of 35.7
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 11.37
  • Analyst targets imply +39.1% versus the current price

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 48.4 versus sector average of 35.7
  • Negative profit margin of -10.6%
  • Analyst targets imply +39.1% versus the current price

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth53.50%
Profit Margin-10.62%
P/E Ratio48.4
ROE6.55%
ROA4.70%
Debt/Equity36.11
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash Flow$62.3M
Free Cash Flow$71.0M
Industry P/E35.7

Technical analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI41.8
Support$11.38
Resistance$15.06
MA 20$12.28
MA 50$12.68
MA 200$11.37
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.86

Valuation

Fair Value$23.33
Target Price$16.14
Upside/Downside39.10%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk assessment

Beta1.92
Volatility55.02%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.