HLI:NYSEHoulihan Lokey, Inc. Analysis

The moving-average structure behind Houlihan Lokey, Inc. is bearish at $127.01, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. The last 30 days have lost 8.7%. RSI sits at 44.1, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $112.83 and resistance at $147.01.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 21.3 versus a 16.9 sector average, above the peer group. Consensus targets land 20.9% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 15.5% on a 16.1% profit margin. The 2.24% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 6 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 46.7%, a beta of 0.73 and a maximum drawdown of 41.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 1 out of 10.