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HLAL:NASDAQWahed FTSE USA Shariah ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$69.36

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Wahed FTSE USA Shariah ETF (HLAL) is trading at $69.36, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 68.21 and the 50‑day SMA of 64.06, indicating short‑term bullish momentum. The 200‑day SMA sits at 61.43, reinforcing a longer‑term uptrend, while the RSI of 63.7 suggests the fund is neither overbought nor oversold. Although the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, the price remains well above the identified support level of 65.06 and below the resistance at 70.89, offering a reasonable cushion for upside. Volume trends are increasing, with recent daily volume rising relative to its 10‑day and 3‑month averages, supporting liquidity despite modest absolute numbers. The fund’s beta of 1.04 aligns closely with the market, and its maximum drawdown of -10.3% over the recent period is modest for an equity‑focused vehicle.
From a cost perspective, the ETF’s expense ratio of 0.5% is competitive, and the fund tracks its benchmark with zero tracking error and no premium/discount, eliminating tracking risk. YTD performance of 8.09% outpaces many peers, and the Fear & Greed Index at 89.05 (Extreme Greed) reflects strong market sentiment. The Shariah‑compliant mandate adds a niche appeal, potentially attracting growing demand for ethical investing. Overall, the technical and fundamental signals point to a resilient, moderately bullish outlook with limited downside risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • Increasing volume trend
  • MACD bearish signal providing caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • YTD return of 8.09% and bullish long‑term SMA alignment
  • Low expense ratio and zero tracking error
  • Strong market sentiment (Extreme Greed) supporting upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified large‑blend exposure with Shariah compliance
  • Stable tracking performance and modest beta
  • Growing demand for ethical and socially responsible investments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.50%
AUM$821.7M
Inception Date2019-07-15
Avg Daily Volume75,210
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.49%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.7
Support$65.06
Resistance$70.89
MA 20$68.21
MA 50$64.06
MA 200$61.43
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.05

Risk Assessment

Beta1.04
Volatility15.33%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.