HL:NYSEHecla Mining Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time
$17.01
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hecla Mining (HL) is trading around $17.01, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of 18.08 and 50‑day SMA of 18.38, but just above the calculated support level of 16.27. The RSI of 43.5 suggests the stock is not yet oversold, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence, and volume has been trending down, indicating short‑term pressure. The company has eliminated its senior debt, achieving a debt‑free balance sheet and generating record quarterly cash flow, bolstering its financial resilience. Despite a DCF fair value of roughly $15.40, analysts project a median price target of $24.5, implying a potential upside of over 40% and reflecting strong confidence in metal price tailwinds. The dividend yield is modest at 0.08% with an ultra‑low payout ratio (~2%), making the dividend highly sustainable. However, the stock exhibits high 30‑day volatility (~68%) and an elevated beta (~1.85), underscoring considerable market risk.
Overall, the fundamentals are solid—high margins, robust ROE, and a cash‑rich, debt‑free profile—yet technical indicators are mixed and the valuation appears stretched relative to intrinsic estimates. Investors should weigh the upside potential from rising precious‑metal prices against the pronounced price volatility and near‑term technical weakness when deciding on entry timing.
Overall, the fundamentals are solid—high margins, robust ROE, and a cash‑rich, debt‑free profile—yet technical indicators are mixed and the valuation appears stretched relative to intrinsic estimates. Investors should weigh the upside potential from rising precious‑metal prices against the pronounced price volatility and near‑term technical weakness when deciding on entry timing.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume signal short‑term weakness
- Recent debt redemption leaves the balance sheet unencumbered
- Price is near support but still above the 200‑day SMA
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Analyst median target of $24.5 suggests substantial upside
- Strong cash generation and debt‑free status support growth
- Favorable silver and gold price environment
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend with very low payout ratio
- Long‑term exposure to precious‑metal demand as a safe‑haven asset
- Valuation premium relative to DCF indicates caution
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth100.40%
Profit Margin16.81%
P/E Ratio24.7
ROE19.89%
ROA13.81%
Debt/Equity11.09
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash Flow$721.1M
Free Cash Flow$277.1M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.5
Support$16.27
Resistance$21.30
MA 20$18.08
MA 50$18.38
MA 200$17.33
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.8
Valuation
Fair Value$15.40
Target Price$24.73
Upside/Downside45.36%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.08%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.85
Volatility67.94%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.