HIMZ:NASDAQDefiance Daily Target 2X Long HIMS ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
$25.23
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
HIMZ is experiencing a sharp underperformance with a YTD return of -55.76% and a staggering max drawdown of -98.08%. Technical indicators reinforce the downside bias: the price sits well below the 20‑day (31.62) and 50‑day (30.12) SMAs, the RSI is at 43.3 indicating waning momentum, and the MACD histogram is firmly in bearish territory. The fund’s beta of 4.82 and 30‑day volatility exceeding 200% signal extreme sensitivity to market swings, while the expense ratio of 1.29% further erodes returns. Volume is rising, yet average volumes remain modest relative to the asset base, suggesting limited liquidity for large trades. Given these metrics, the ETF’s leveraged, single‑stock exposure makes it unsuitable for most investors beyond very short‑term speculative bets.
Overall, the combination of a bearish technical profile, ultra‑high volatility, and near‑total loss of value positions HIMZ as a high‑risk vehicle with little upside potential. Investors should approach with caution and consider exiting positions unless they have a specific short‑term trading thesis that can tolerate rapid price swings.
Overall, the combination of a bearish technical profile, ultra‑high volatility, and near‑total loss of value positions HIMZ as a high‑risk vehicle with little upside potential. Investors should approach with caution and consider exiting positions unless they have a specific short‑term trading thesis that can tolerate rapid price swings.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD signal
- Extreme 30‑day volatility (205%)
- Massive max drawdown (-98%)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- High beta (4.82) amplifies market swings
- Negative YTD return (-55.8%)
- Leveraged structure unsuitable for holding period
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Leveraged daily target erodes value over time
- Expense ratio 1.29% compounds loss
- Lack of diversification concentrates risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.29%
AUM$163.8M
Inception Date2025-03-12
Avg Daily Volume1,193,160
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield5.51%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.3
Support$20.90
Resistance$46.48
MA 20$31.62
MA 50$30.12
MA 200$120.45
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Risk Assessment
Beta4.82
Volatility205.05%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.