HIMS:NYSEHims & Hers Health, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Hims & Hers is trading at $26.82, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $10, signaling a material overvaluation. The stock sits just under the 20‑day SMA (≈$25.9) and above the 50‑day SMA, while the MACD histogram remains positive, suggesting short‑term bullish momentum, yet the RSI hovers around 51, indicating a neutral stance. Volatility is extreme at ~85% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 2.5, underscoring heightened price swings relative to the market. Fundamentally, revenue grew 3.8% YoY to $608 M and the company now projects $690 M for the next quarter, beating consensus, but operating margins are still deeply negative and debt‑to‑equity tops 250%, raising solvency concerns. The recent $350 M convertible‑note issuance provides liquidity for growth initiatives, but the combination of high leverage, thin profitability and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment adds considerable downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price near recent resistance with limited upside
- Extreme short‑term volatility and high beta
- Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Revenue guidance above estimates
- Improved cash flow generation despite operating losses
- High leverage but fresh capital from convertible notes
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Potential to improve margins through brand partnerships
- Structural growth in telehealth and consumer health space
- Persistent regulatory and debt‑service headwinds
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.