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HIMS:NYSEHims & Hers Health, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$26.82

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Hims & Hers is trading at $26.82, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $10, signaling a material overvaluation. The stock sits just under the 20‑day SMA (≈$25.9) and above the 50‑day SMA, while the MACD histogram remains positive, suggesting short‑term bullish momentum, yet the RSI hovers around 51, indicating a neutral stance. Volatility is extreme at ~85% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 2.5, underscoring heightened price swings relative to the market. Fundamentally, revenue grew 3.8% YoY to $608 M and the company now projects $690 M for the next quarter, beating consensus, but operating margins are still deeply negative and debt‑to‑equity tops 250%, raising solvency concerns. The recent $350 M convertible‑note issuance provides liquidity for growth initiatives, but the combination of high leverage, thin profitability and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment adds considerable downside risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near recent resistance with limited upside
  • Extreme short‑term volatility and high beta
  • Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue guidance above estimates
  • Improved cash flow generation despite operating losses
  • High leverage but fresh capital from convertible notes

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential to improve margins through brand partnerships
  • Structural growth in telehealth and consumer health space
  • Persistent regulatory and debt‑service headwinds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin-0.56%
P/E Ratio30.1
ROE-2.66%
ROA0.60%
Debt/Equity253.72
P/B Ratio13.9
Op. Cash Flow$280.3M
Free Cash Flow$174.3M
Industry P/E24.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.5
Support$21.53
Resistance$29.82
MA 20$25.89
MA 50$25.63
MA 200$33.57
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$10.09
Target Price$26.61
Upside/Downside-0.79%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.50
Volatility84.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.