We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

HEI:NYSEHeico Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$301.20

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

HEICO Corp. (HEI) trades around $301, well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $101 and carries a trailing P/E of ~60 versus an industry average of ~29, indicating the stock is currently overvalued. Fundamentally, the company shows solid top‑line momentum with 14% revenue growth and healthy margins (gross ~40%, operating ~22%). Technical signals are mixed: MACD is bullish, RSI sits at 60, and price hovers just below the $303.6 resistance while above the $256 support, suggesting limited upside in the near term.
The aerospace and defense sector benefits from expanding global air travel and heightened defense spending, providing tailwinds for HEICO’s Flight Support and Electronic Technologies segments. However, high leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~50) and a volatility of ~38% over the past 30 days add risk, while the dividend is modest (0.08% yield) but highly sustainable given low payout (<5%). Analyst consensus remains “Buy” with median price target $361, implying a potential upside of ~20% if valuation pressures ease.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • MACD bullish but price near resistance
  • High valuation relative to DCF
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth and strong operating margins
  • Favorable defense spending outlook
  • Analyst price targets indicating upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained aftermarket demand from aging aircraft fleet
  • Robust cash flow supporting dividend and debt service
  • Long‑term defense and aerospace secular tailwinds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.40%
Profit Margin15.38%
P/E Ratio59.5
ROE16.57%
ROA7.85%
Debt/Equity49.70
P/B Ratio9.3
Op. Cash Flow$909.8M
Free Cash Flow$690.8M
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI60.3
Support$256.11
Resistance$303.59
MA 20$283.12
MA 50$282.66
MA 200$312.02
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair Value$101.18
Target Price$354.40
Upside/Downside17.66%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.08%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.15
Volatility38.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.