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HCA:NYSEHCA Healthcare, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

$394.07

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, indicating a bearish technical stance. RSI is well under 30, suggesting oversold conditions. The MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing downward momentum. Despite the price weakness, volume trend is increasing, hinting at possible accumulation. Fundamentals show a modest PE relative to the industry average, yet a negative book value per share raises concerns. Dividend yield sits under 1% with a low payout ratio, pointing to sustainability.
Analyst consensus remains a buy with a median target near $510, implying notable upside. However, a recent max drawdown approaching 28% and 30‑day volatility near 35% highlight heightened risk. The beta is low, indicating limited sensitivity to broader market moves. The fear‑greed index signals extreme greed, which could be inflating the current price. High debt relative to cash balances adds financial leverage risk. Positive free cash flow supports dividend payments and operational flexibility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price below 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages
  • RSI deep oversold
  • negative MACD histogram

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • analyst upside potential
  • positive free cash flow
  • low dividend payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • steady earnings growth
  • strong market position in medical care facilities
  • potential recovery from technical weakness

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.30%
Profit Margin8.89%
P/E Ratio13.6
ROA12.34%
P/B Ratio-13.9
Op. Cash Flow$13.0B
Free Cash Flow$5.7B
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI24.8
Support$386.01
Resistance$452.39
MA 20$423.99
MA 50$462.23
MA 200$462.29
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$184.16
Target Price$510.95
Upside/Downside29.66%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.79%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.27
Volatility34.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.