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HAVLX:NASDAQHarbor Large Cap Value Fund Insti Cl Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

$19.29

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is currently trading at $19.29, essentially hugging its technical support level of $19.29. Both the 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages sit just above the price at roughly $20.17, indicating the market is still below short‑term trend lines. A 14‑day RSI of 24.6 places the fund in clear oversold territory, suggesting a potential bounce if buying interest resumes. Conversely, the MACD line remains negative and the histogram is declining, signaling bearish momentum in the near term. The broader market context from the recent Q4 2025 commentary notes a 2.66 % rise in the S&P 500, which aligns with the fund’s modest YTD gain of about 4.9 %. The fund’s low beta of 0.74 and a 30‑day volatility of roughly 11.5 % underscore a defensive profile relative to the equity market.
With a maximum historical drawdown of just over 19 % and a modest expense ratio of 0.69 %, the fund balances risk and cost effectively. The dividend yield of 1.39 % adds a modest income component, while the “Greed” reading on the Fear‑Greed Index (72.9) reflects a market environment that favors value‑oriented equities. Liquidity is not a concern for a mutual fund that settles daily at NAV, and currency exposure is limited to USD. Overall, the technical picture is mixed—oversold but bearish—while the fundamental backdrop remains supportive. Investors should therefore view the fund as a low‑to‑moderate risk vehicle suitable for value‑seeking portfolios. The recommendation is to hold in the short run, consider buying on a medium horizon as the market stabilizes, and maintain a hold stance for the long term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price at established support level
  • Bearish MACD suggests limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • YTD positive return amid broader market strength
  • Low beta providing defensive characteristics
  • Attractive dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent low expense ratio
  • Historical low turnover preserving style
  • Value‑oriented benchmark alignment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Mutual Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.69%
Turnover Ratio10.00%
BenchmarkS&P 500 Value Index
Max Drawdown-19.19%
Style DriftLow

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI24.6
Support$19.29
Resistance$20.62
MA 20$20.17
MA 50$20.17
MA 200$22.18
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility11.45%
Sector RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.