HAL:NYSEHalliburton Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time
$35.29
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Halliburton is trading at $35.29, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $34.90 and the 50‑day SMA of $33.36, confirming a bullish price momentum despite a bearish MACD histogram. RSI at 56.7 indicates the stock is not yet overbought, while volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the upward move. Recent earnings beat and the declaration of a $0.17 per‑share dividend have bolstered investor sentiment, reflected in an "Extreme Greed" market tone (fear‑greed index 80.66). However, the DCF fair‑value estimate of $29.14 sits well below the current price, implying the market is pricing in optimistic growth assumptions. The 30‑day volatility of ~28% and a computed beta of ~1.25 suggest heightened price swings relative to the broader market, underscoring the need for disciplined positioning.
Strategically, the new Indonesia MoU and AI‑driven service offerings provide a growth catalyst, while a payout ratio of ~45% and solid free cash flow support dividend sustainability. Investors should weigh the upside potential against the valuation premium and sector cyclicality before committing.
Strategically, the new Indonesia MoU and AI‑driven service offerings provide a growth catalyst, while a payout ratio of ~45% and solid free cash flow support dividend sustainability. Investors should weigh the upside potential against the valuation premium and sector cyclicality before committing.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term moving averages
- Increasing volume and bullish trend direction
- Bearish MACD histogram and overvalued price relative to DCF
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward EPS growth and lower forward PE (13.1)
- Strategic Indonesia partnership and AI service expansion
- Sustainable dividend yield of ~2% with 45% payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Cyclical nature of energy‑services sector
- Current valuation premium over fair value
- Stable cash generation offset by high debt-to-equity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.80%
Profit Margin5.78%
P/E Ratio23.5
ROE12.27%
ROA7.37%
Debt/Equity79.16
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow$2.9B
Free Cash Flow$2.1B
Industry P/E20.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI56.7
Support$33.10
Resistance$37.03
MA 20$34.90
MA 50$33.36
MA 200$26.02
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.66
Valuation
Fair Value$29.14
Target Price$36.50
Upside/Downside3.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.96%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.25
Volatility28.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.