H:NYSEHyatt Hotels Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$199.36
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hyatt Hotels is trading near its 52‑week high with bullish technical momentum. The short‑term moving averages sit well above longer averages, and the MACD line remains above its signal, underscoring a bullish trend. However, the RSI is firmly in overbought territory, suggesting that price may encounter resistance soon.
Fundamentally, the company shows resilient margins and solid cash generation despite a modest revenue decline. Forward earnings estimates are robust, yet the discounted cash flow valuation is dramatically lower than the current market price, indicating a sizable overvaluation. High leverage and a low dividend payout further temper the upside, making the stock appealing primarily for growth‑oriented investors willing to accept valuation risk.
Fundamentally, the company shows resilient margins and solid cash generation despite a modest revenue decline. Forward earnings estimates are robust, yet the discounted cash flow valuation is dramatically lower than the current market price, indicating a sizable overvaluation. High leverage and a low dividend payout further temper the upside, making the stock appealing primarily for growth‑oriented investors willing to accept valuation risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in overbought zone
- price approaching resistance
- stable volume supporting current level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- bullish technical alignment
- strong forward earnings outlook
- robust operating cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- significant valuation gap
- high leverage relative to equity
- brand strength in luxury segment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.50%
Profit Margin-0.99%
P/E Ratio40.8
ROE-0.88%
ROA2.37%
Debt/Equity127.12
P/B Ratio5.8
Op. Cash Flow$326.0M
Free Cash Flow$351.1M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI73.3
Support$163.04
Resistance$200.47
MA 20$183.38
MA 50$170.76
MA 200$157.98
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value$8.54
Target Price$193.83
Upside/Downside-2.78%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.30%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.25
Volatility32.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.