GXO:NYSEGXO Logistics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-09 - not real-time
$46.71
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind GXO Logistics, Inc. is bearish at $46.71, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 12.3%. With RSI at 44.5 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Watch $45.00 as support and $48.94 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 41.3 versus a 28.3 sector average, above the peer group. Consensus targets land 47.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 4.3% on a 1.0% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 8 — high. With 30-day volatility of 41.1%, a beta of 1.54 and a maximum drawdown of 30.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
On valuation the read is fair — earnings multiple of 41.3 versus a 28.3 sector average, above the peer group. Consensus targets land 47.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 4.3% on a 1.0% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 8 — high. With 30-day volatility of 41.1%, a beta of 1.54 and a maximum drawdown of 30.8%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
Top Market Events
GXO Logistics Inc GXO reports 4% revenue growth and $410 million in new business wins, while maintaining full-year...GREENWICH, Conn., July 09, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- GXO Logistics, Inc. NYSE: GXO will hold its second quarter 2026...GREENWICH, Conn., July 29, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- GXO Logistics, Inc. NYSE: GXO , the world’s largest pure-play...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 52.93
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 41.3 versus sector average of 28.3
- Trading below the 200-day average of 52.93
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 41.3 versus sector average of 28.3
- Analyst targets imply +47.1% versus the current price
- Elevated debt-to-equity of 202
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.30%
Profit Margin0.96%
P/E Ratio41.3
ROE4.50%
ROA2.42%
Debt/Equity202.48
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$509.0M
Free Cash Flow$340.6M
Industry P/E28.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.5
Support$45.00
Resistance$48.94
MA 20$47.17
MA 50$49.61
MA 200$52.93
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.38
Valuation
Target Price$68.71
Upside/Downside47.09%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.54
Volatility41.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.