GTIM:NASDAQGood Times Restaurants Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$1.28
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Good Times Restaurants (GTIM) trades around $1.28, just below its 20‑day SMA of $1.287 and facing a bearish MACD histogram, indicating short‑term momentum weakness. The stock’s RSI sits near 50 (49.5), suggesting a neutral stance, while volume has been decreasing, adding to the lack of buying pressure. Fundamentally, the company reports a trailing P/E of ~7.5, but a forward P/E of 64, reflecting sharply declining earnings expectations (trailing EPS $0.17 vs forward EPS $0.02). Revenue fell 3.1% year‑over‑year and margins remain thin (gross margin ~10%, operating margin ~1.5%), with same‑store sales down 0.8% in the Bad Daddy’s segment. Debt is a major concern: total debt of $38.3 M dwarfs cash of $2.7 M, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 112% and a modest ROE of ~5.7%. The company’s beta of 0.45 and 30‑day volatility of ~21% point to low systematic risk but high price swings typical of small‑cap stocks. The market sentiment index shows “Extreme Greed,” yet the stock’s market cap is only $13.5 M, indicating limited liquidity. Support sits at $1.22 and resistance at $1.35, a narrow range that the price is currently testing. Overall, the blend of deteriorating earnings, high leverage, and weak technical signals outweighs the superficial cheap valuation, suggesting caution for investors.
Actionable insight: Investors should treat GTIM as a high‑risk position; unless a clear turnaround in earnings or a deleveraging plan emerges, a defensive stance (sell or avoid) is prudent.
Actionable insight: Investors should treat GTIM as a high‑risk position; unless a clear turnaround in earnings or a deleveraging plan emerges, a defensive stance (sell or avoid) is prudent.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below 20‑day SMA
- Declining same‑store sales and revenue contraction
- High leverage with debt‑to‑equity >100%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential stabilization if cost controls improve
- Valuation still appears cheap on current earnings
- Sector cyclicality could moderate volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Sustained earnings decline forecast (forward EPS $0.02)
- Persistent debt burden limiting growth opportunities
- Limited liquidity and small market cap increase downside risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.10%
Profit Margin1.33%
P/E Ratio7.5
ROE5.74%
ROA0.95%
Debt/Equity112.21
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash Flow$3.4M
Free Cash Flow$2.7M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI49.5
Support$1.22
Resistance$1.35
MA 20$1.29
MA 50$1.27
MA 200$1.33
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
GradeFair
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.45
Volatility20.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.