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GSK:LSEGSK plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

£1,915.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

GSK plc trades around £1,915, markedly above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly £654, implying a material overvaluation despite a modest upside estimate of only about 6%. Technicals are mixed: the 20‑day SMA sits just below price while the 50‑day SMA remains higher, the RSI hovers at 44 (neutral), and a bullish MACD histogram supports a short‑term bounce, yet volume is trending downwards and the broader trend is neutral. The company delivers a solid 3.55% dividend yield with a payout ratio under 50%, strong cash generation and a ROE exceeding 40%, suggesting dividend sustainability. Recent news adds nuance – a high‑profile Alzheimer’s trial was discontinued, but the UK regulator approved a new liver‑disease drug and GSK completed a $950 million acquisition to broaden its pipeline, while analysts collectively maintain a “hold” stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram despite neutral price trend
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Limited upside potential given current overvaluation

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash flow and high ROE supporting earnings stability
  • Regulatory headwinds from recent trial failure
  • Valuation gap between market price and intrinsic fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend providing steady return
  • Pipeline expansion through the 35Pharma acquisition
  • Persistently high market multiple relative to peers and DCF

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.50%
Profit Margin17.78%
P/E Ratio13.5
ROE40.91%
ROA10.02%
Debt/Equity109.70
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow£7.7B
Free Cash Flow£3.0B
Industry P/E27.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI44.4
Support£1,690.00
Resistance£2,071.00
MA 20£1,906.16
MA 50£2,006.20
MA 200£1,823.33
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.64

Valuation

Fair Value£654.33
Target Price£2,032.00
Upside/Downside6.11%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.55%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.24
Volatility25.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.