GSK:LSEGSK plc Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
£1,915.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
GSK plc trades around £1,915, markedly above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly £654, implying a material overvaluation despite a modest upside estimate of only about 6%. Technicals are mixed: the 20‑day SMA sits just below price while the 50‑day SMA remains higher, the RSI hovers at 44 (neutral), and a bullish MACD histogram supports a short‑term bounce, yet volume is trending downwards and the broader trend is neutral. The company delivers a solid 3.55% dividend yield with a payout ratio under 50%, strong cash generation and a ROE exceeding 40%, suggesting dividend sustainability. Recent news adds nuance – a high‑profile Alzheimer’s trial was discontinued, but the UK regulator approved a new liver‑disease drug and GSK completed a $950 million acquisition to broaden its pipeline, while analysts collectively maintain a “hold” stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram despite neutral price trend
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Limited upside potential given current overvaluation
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash flow and high ROE supporting earnings stability
- Regulatory headwinds from recent trial failure
- Valuation gap between market price and intrinsic fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend providing steady return
- Pipeline expansion through the 35Pharma acquisition
- Persistently high market multiple relative to peers and DCF
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.50%
Profit Margin17.78%
P/E Ratio13.5
ROE40.91%
ROA10.02%
Debt/Equity109.70
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow£7.7B
Free Cash Flow£3.0B
Industry P/E27.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.4
Support£1,690.00
Resistance£2,071.00
MA 20£1,906.16
MA 50£2,006.20
MA 200£1,823.33
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.64
Valuation
Fair Value£654.33
Target Price£2,032.00
Upside/Downside6.11%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.55%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.24
Volatility25.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.