GRTHO:BISTGrainturk Holding A.S. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-27 - not real-time
TRY 223.40
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At TRY 223.40, GRAINTURK Holding A.S. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 10.8%. Relative strength is 42.3 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near TRY 213.20 and resistance around TRY 252.50.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 16.8, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Revenue is contracting at 6.9% on a 25.5% profit margin. The 0.40% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 35.6%, a beta of 0.10 and a maximum drawdown of 69.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 16.8, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Revenue is contracting at 6.9% on a 25.5% profit margin. The 0.40% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 35.6%, a beta of 0.10 and a maximum drawdown of 69.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 247.66
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 247.66
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Profit margin of 25.5% is healthy
- Revenue contracting at -6.9%
- Negative free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-6.90%
Profit Margin25.53%
P/E Ratio16.8
ROE20.17%
ROA3.28%
Debt/Equity7.53
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash FlowTRY792.3M
Free Cash FlowTRY-1694816128
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.3
SupportTRY 213.20
ResistanceTRY 252.50
MA 20TRY 229.64
MA 50TRY 239.08
MA 200TRY 247.66
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.89
Valuation
Fair ValueTRY 65.35
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.40%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.10
Volatility35.64%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.