GRMN:NYSEGarmin Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
$237.47
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Garmin delivered a record first‑quarter, posting 14% year‑on‑year revenue growth to $1.75 billion and beating EPS expectations by 14%. Margins remain robust with a gross margin near 59% and operating margin above 24%, while the forward PE of 23 suggests earnings momentum outpacing the broader industry (PE ≈ 38). The stock trades at a trailing PE of 26.5, below the industry average, and offers a 1.77% dividend with a 40% payout ratio, indicating sustainable income. Technically, the price of $237.47 sits below the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs (≈ 242 and 244) and the MACD is in a bearish crossover, though the RSI of 46.6 signals no extreme overbought/oversold condition.
Volatility is elevated at roughly 30% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 1, pointing to higher systematic risk, yet the stock benefits from stable volume and a solid cash position. Analyst consensus targets imply modest upside (~10%) and the company’s diversified portfolio—from fitness wearables to aviation avionics—provides a defensive cushion, supporting a longer‑term bullish stance.
Volatility is elevated at roughly 30% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 1, pointing to higher systematic risk, yet the stock benefits from stable volume and a solid cash position. Analyst consensus targets imply modest upside (~10%) and the company’s diversified portfolio—from fitness wearables to aviation avionics—provides a defensive cushion, supporting a longer‑term bullish stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Recent earnings beat but price below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD signal and elevated short‑term volatility
- Proximity to support level around $224.5
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained 14% revenue growth driven by a 42% surge in the fitness segment
- Improving earnings outlook with forward PE of 23 and analyst upside
- Solid cash generation and manageable debt supporting reinvestment
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Diversified product mix across consumer and industrial markets
- Consistent dividend with a payout ratio under 50% and strong ROE
- Strategic positioning in high‑growth wearables and aviation avionics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.20%
Profit Margin23.26%
P/E Ratio26.5
ROE19.90%
ROA11.90%
Debt/Equity2.33
P/B Ratio4.9
Op. Cash Flow$1.7B
Free Cash Flow$810.2M
Industry P/E38.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.6
Support$224.54
Resistance$269.16
MA 20$241.73
MA 50$244.13
MA 200$228.42
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Valuation
Fair Value$110.16
Target Price$261.71
Upside/Downside10.21%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.77%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.33
Volatility30.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.