GRF:BMEGrifols, S.A. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-08 - not real-time
$9.91
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The fund trades at $9.91, just above the calculated support of $9.76 and well below resistance $10.58, indicating limited upside in the near term. The 20‑day SMA (10.04) sits above the price, while the 50‑day SMA (10.13) and 200‑day SMA (10.52) are higher, confirming a bearish price structure. Technical momentum is further weakened by a bearish MACD histogram and an RSI of 45, suggesting the stock is neither oversold nor overbought but trending lower. Volume is increasing, which could accelerate the move toward the support zone. Meanwhile, an insider purchase by Director Donald G. Tyler adds a modest positive signal.
Fundamentally, GRF appears markedly undervalued – its trailing P/E of 7.8 is less than half the industry average of 17, and the price‑to‑book of 0.83 is below parity, implying an attractive valuation. The fund distributes an high dividend yield of 8.58%, yet the payout ratio of roughly 67% rests on modest earnings and zero reported cash flow, raising questions about long‑term sustainability. The beta of 0.02 signals extremely low market sensitivity, while 30‑day volatility of 27% and a max drawdown of 16% point to notable price swings. Given these mixed signals, the stock sits at a crossroads between attractive yield and potential downside risk.
Fundamentally, GRF appears markedly undervalued – its trailing P/E of 7.8 is less than half the industry average of 17, and the price‑to‑book of 0.83 is below parity, implying an attractive valuation. The fund distributes an high dividend yield of 8.58%, yet the payout ratio of roughly 67% rests on modest earnings and zero reported cash flow, raising questions about long‑term sustainability. The beta of 0.02 signals extremely low market sensitivity, while 30‑day volatility of 27% and a max drawdown of 16% point to notable price swings. Given these mixed signals, the stock sits at a crossroads between attractive yield and potential downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical trend with price below short‑term SMA
- Support level near current price offering limited upside
- Insider buying provides a modest positive catalyst
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount vs industry peers
- Attractive dividend yield despite payout concerns
- Very low beta suggesting defensive profile
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued fundamentals may support price recovery
- Sustaining dividend may be challenged by cash‑flow constraints
- Persistent sector and regulatory exposure in asset management
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.00%
Profit Margin504.51%
P/E Ratio7.8
ROE10.79%
ROA0.51%
P/B Ratio0.8
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.1
Support$9.76
Resistance$10.58
MA 20$10.04
MA 50$10.13
MA 200$10.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.58%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.02
Volatility27.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.