GPT:ASXGPT Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-07 - not real-time
A$4.77
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The GPT Group trades at a strong discount to its peers, with a trailing PE of 9.35 versus an industry average of 32.24, while delivering a robust 5.08% dividend yield and a payout ratio under 50%. Its balance sheet shows moderate leverage (debt‑to‑equity 52.8%) and ample cash generation, reflected in a sizable operating cash flow of AU$622 million. Analyst consensus remains bullish, with a median target of AU$5.35 implying roughly a 13% upside from the current price of AU$4.77.
Technically, the stock sits just above its recent support at AU$4.73 and below the 20‑day SMA of AU$4.98, while the RSI of 40.9 suggests limited upside momentum and the MACD is in a bearish configuration. Despite these neutral‑to‑bearish signals, the market sentiment is in an "Extreme Greed" phase (Fear‑Greed Index 92.6), and the REIT's low beta and stable volume profile provide a defensive cushion for investors.
Technically, the stock sits just above its recent support at AU$4.73 and below the 20‑day SMA of AU$4.98, while the RSI of 40.9 suggests limited upside momentum and the MACD is in a bearish configuration. Despite these neutral‑to‑bearish signals, the market sentiment is in an "Extreme Greed" phase (Fear‑Greed Index 92.6), and the REIT's low beta and stable volume profile provide a defensive cushion for investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price is near recent support and below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD histogram indicates limited near‑term momentum
- High dividend yield offers downside protection
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount relative to industry PE
- Analyst target prices suggest ~13% upside
- Strong cash flow and sustainable dividend payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Diversified portfolio of retail, office and logistics assets
- Low beta and stable earnings profile typical of REITs
- Long‑term dividend yield and manageable leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO14.687839649591494
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI40.9
SupportA$4.73
ResistanceA$5.20
MA 20A$4.98
MA 50A$4.84
MA 200A$5.11
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.63
Risk Assessment
Beta0.16
Volatility22.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.