GPT:ASXGPT Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
A$4.63
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The GPT Group (GPT.AX) is trading at AUD 4.63, notably below its 20‑day (4.89), 50‑day (5.15) and 200‑day (5.27) simple moving averages, signalling a bearish price trend but also a potential rebound zone. The RSI of 31 places the stock in oversold territory, while a bearish MACD confirms recent downside momentum. Despite the price weakness, the REIT boasts a PE of 9.1 versus an industry average of 32.5, a price‑to‑book of 0.83 (dividend yield of 5.18%, offering attractive income relative to peers. Recent news highlights strong FY‑2025 earnings, profit uplift and higher distributions, reinforcing the quality of cash flow and supporting the payout ratio of 46.9%.
Looking ahead, analysts project a median target price of AUD 5.80, implying roughly 25% upside from current levels. The REIT’s balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity of 52.8%—high but typical for property trusts—and solid operating cash flow of AUD 622 M. With stable trading volume, low beta (moderately attractive entry point for income‑focused investors.
Looking ahead, analysts project a median target price of AUD 5.80, implying roughly 25% upside from current levels. The REIT’s balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity of 52.8%—high but typical for property trusts—and solid operating cash flow of AUD 622 M. With stable trading volume, low beta (moderately attractive entry point for income‑focused investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages creating a technical bounce opportunity
- Oversold RSI indicating potential short‑term recovery
- Strong FY‑2025 earnings and higher distribution guidance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Upside potential of ~25% to analyst median target
- Attractive dividend yield and sustainable payout ratio
- Valuation discounts (PE, PB) relative to industry peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified REIT portfolio across retail, office and logistics assets
- Stable income generation supporting long‑term dividend reliability
- Moderate leverage typical for REITs but manageable given cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO14.256750606359137
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI31.3
SupportA$4.56
ResistanceA$5.15
MA 20A$4.89
MA 50A$5.15
MA 200A$5.27
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Risk Assessment
Beta0.34
Volatility22.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.