GOOG:NASDAQAlphabet Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time
$298.30
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Alphabet’s stock is trading at $298.30, which sits below the 20‑day SMA of 309.24 and the 50‑day SMA of 320.20, with an RSI of 34.2 signaling oversold conditions and a bearish MACD histogram. Volume is trending down and the price is hugging the near‑term support level of $295.25, while the next resistance sits around $330.64.
Fundamentally, the company delivers robust growth – revenue of $402.8 B grew 18% YoY, margins remain strong (gross 59.6%, operating 31.6%) and ROE is an impressive 35.7%. Cash is abundant and debt modest, making the 0.28% dividend sustainable. However, valuation is stretched: a PE of 27.6 far exceeds the industry average of 18.2, and the DCF‑derived fair value of only $96.9 suggests the market price carries a sizable premium. Analyst sentiment is bullish (strong‑buy) and the Fear‑Greed Index reads 68.77 (Greed), yet the technical picture remains mixed.
Fundamentally, the company delivers robust growth – revenue of $402.8 B grew 18% YoY, margins remain strong (gross 59.6%, operating 31.6%) and ROE is an impressive 35.7%. Cash is abundant and debt modest, making the 0.28% dividend sustainable. However, valuation is stretched: a PE of 27.6 far exceeds the industry average of 18.2, and the DCF‑derived fair value of only $96.9 suggests the market price carries a sizable premium. Analyst sentiment is bullish (strong‑buy) and the Fear‑Greed Index reads 68.77 (Greed), yet the technical picture remains mixed.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- Proximity to near‑term support at $295.25
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high operating margins
- Robust cash generation and low payout ratio
- Analyst consensus of strong‑buy and favorable AI/Cloud tailwinds
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Sustained high ROE and expanding AI/Cloud franchise
- Strategic focus on high‑growth Other Bets (Waymo, Wing)
- Long‑term market positioning despite current valuation premium
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.00%
Profit Margin32.81%
P/E Ratio27.6
ROE35.71%
ROA15.43%
Debt/Equity16.13
P/B Ratio8.7
Op. Cash Flow$164.7B
Free Cash Flow$38.1B
Industry P/E18.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI34.2
Support$295.25
Resistance$330.64
MA 20$309.24
MA 50$320.20
MA 200$253.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.77
Valuation
Fair Value$96.92
Target Price$359.53
Upside/Downside20.53%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.28%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.99
Volatility21.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.