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GNPX:NASDAQGenprex, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$0.81

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Technical outlook is decidedly bearish: the 20‑day SMA (0.91) sits well below both the 50‑day (1.37) and 200‑day (5.06) averages, the RSI is at 26.7 indicating oversold conditions, and price ($0.805) is hovering just above the identified support level ($0.791) while volume trends downward. Despite a bullish MACD histogram, the MACD line remains negative and the beta of 2.29 signals amplified market swings, compounded by a 30‑day volatility of over 80% and a historic max drawdown of –98%.
Fundamentals are weak: Genprex reports zero revenue, negative earnings per share (‑$17.03 trailing, ‑$2.18 forward), and substantial cash burn (operating cash flow ‑$14.3 M, free cash flow ‑$9.0 M). The company carries no debt but also lacks any dividend or earnings base, resulting in a negative forward PE and a price‑to‑book of 0.33. Recent news highlights promising pre‑clinical data and a new biomarker research agreement with MD Anderson, yet these are early‑stage developments that have yet to translate into commercial traction. Investors should weigh the speculative upside of the pipeline against the severe financial and market risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with decreasing volume
  • Bearish SMA alignment and low RSI
  • Extreme volatility and high beta

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Positive preclinical data and FDA Fast Track designations
  • Ongoing biomarker research partnership with MD Anderson
  • Continued cash burn and absence of revenue

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Potential breakthrough gene‑therapy platform if clinical trials succeed
  • Very limited market capitalization and thin trading
  • High regulatory and execution risk in biotech space

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-0.4
ROE-160.84%
ROA-76.19%
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash Flow$-14288242
Free Cash Flow$-9021683
Industry P/E26.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI26.7
Support$0.79
Resistance$1.32
MA 20$0.91
MA 50$1.37
MA 200$5.06
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta2.29
Volatility80.49%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.