GNE:NYSEGenie Energy Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$13.54
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Genie Energy is trading near a key technical support zone while short‑term indicators such as the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages sit below the 200‑day average, and the MACD has turned bearish, suggesting continued downside pressure. The RSI hovers in the neutral range and volume has been picking up, indicating that a decisive move could be on the horizon.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued relative to peers, with a price‑to‑earnings multiple comfortably below the industry average and a discounted cash‑flow estimate that implies a sizable upside. The company generates a respectable dividend yield supported by a modest payout ratio and a strong cash position that dwarfs its modest debt load. Recent news shows the firm trimmed its FY2026 EBITDA outlook amid margin compression, yet an analyst upgrade to “Buy” and a target price above the current level reinforce the view that the market may be over‑reacting to short‑term earnings pressure.
Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued relative to peers, with a price‑to‑earnings multiple comfortably below the industry average and a discounted cash‑flow estimate that implies a sizable upside. The company generates a respectable dividend yield supported by a modest payout ratio and a strong cash position that dwarfs its modest debt load. Recent news shows the firm trimmed its FY2026 EBITDA outlook amid margin compression, yet an analyst upgrade to “Buy” and a target price above the current level reinforce the view that the market may be over‑reacting to short‑term earnings pressure.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price is hugging a technical support level
- increasing volume suggests a potential breakout
- bearish MACD and moving‑average alignment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- valuation gap versus discounted cash‑flow and peers
- solid dividend yield with sustainable payout
- analyst upgrade and target price above current levels
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- exposure to renewable‑energy growth opportunities
- strong cash generation and low leverage
- stable regulatory environment for utility‑type operations
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.00%
Profit Margin3.22%
P/E Ratio17.6
ROE9.33%
ROA2.92%
Debt/Equity3.19
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow$24.5M
Free Cash Flow$28.8M
Industry P/E21.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.1
Support$12.69
Resistance$14.88
MA 20$13.92
MA 50$13.98
MA 200$14.66
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61
Valuation
Fair Value$24.11
Target Price$16.00
Upside/Downside18.17%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.22%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.70
Volatility35.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.