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GME:NYSEGameStop Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

$22.55

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

GameStop (GME) is trading at $22.55, essentially inline with its DCF‑derived fair value of $22.69, suggesting a **fair valuation** at present. The stock sits above its 20‑day ($23.77) and 50‑day ($23.63) SMAs, which are both above the 200‑day SMA ($23.23), indicating a *bullish structural trend*, yet the MACD has turned bearish and volume is decreasing, adding short‑term pressure. Momentum indicators are neutral (RSI 44) and the price is approaching the identified support at $21.42, while resistance remains near $26.88. Fundamentals show a revenue decline of 13.9% and modest profitability (operating margin 13%, profit margin 11.5%), but a strong cash position offsets a high debt‑to‑equity of 80%. Recent material news centers on CEO Ryan Cohen’s surprise, non‑binding proposal to acquire eBay and a stake increase to 6.6%, fueling speculative chatter and heightened volatility (52‑day volatility > 52%). The combination of a fair price, strategic acquisition speculation, and elevated risk creates a mixed outlook that leans toward *cautious optimism* for investors willing to navigate short‑term turbulence.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
  • Price near technical support at $21.42
  • Uncertainty surrounding the eBay acquisition proposal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Fair valuation relative to DCF and forward PE of 18.6
  • Potential upside if eBay acquisition proceeds
  • Improving forward EPS expectations

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Transformational strategic direction under Ryan Cohen
  • High sector cyclicality and ongoing revenue decline
  • Strong cash base offset by elevated debt levels

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-13.90%
Profit Margin11.53%
P/E Ratio29.3
ROE8.07%
ROA2.19%
Debt/Equity80.12
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow$614.8M
Free Cash Flow$-159700000

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI44.3
Support$21.42
Resistance$26.88
MA 20$23.77
MA 50$23.63
MA 200$23.23
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.13

Valuation

Fair Value$22.69
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.01
Volatility52.67%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.