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GMAB:NASDAQGenmab A/S Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

$25.39

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Genmab (GMAB) trades at $25.39, well below its DCF fair value of $42.93 and the consensus 12‑month target around $38, indicating roughly 45% upside. The stock sits under its 20‑day (25.53) and 50‑day (26.58) moving averages, confirming a short‑term bearish price bias, yet the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD line has crossed above its signal, providing a subtle bullish signal. Momentum is neutral (RSI 48) and volume is trending down, suggesting limited short‑term buying pressure.
Fundamentally, GMAB delivers robust 25% revenue growth, 93% gross margin and a 21% profit margin, while trading at a PE of 19 versus an industry average of 24, positioning it as a value‑rich growth play. The balance sheet shows high leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~94%) but ample cash ($1.5 B) and solid free cash flow. No dividend is paid, and the sector’s regulatory environment remains a key risk. Analyst sentiment is strongly positive (strong‑buy) and market sentiment is at “Extreme Greed,” supporting the upside thesis.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Positive MACD crossover
  • Decreasing volume and high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF and analyst targets
  • Strong revenue growth and high margins
  • Robust pipeline and strategic collaborations

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Undervaluation relative to fundamentals and peer PE
  • Sustainable cash generation offsetting leverage
  • Long‑term demand for oncology antibody therapeutics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth25.30%
Profit Margin21.05%
P/E Ratio19.4
ROE14.96%
ROA8.48%
Debt/Equity94.17
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash Flow$902.0M
Free Cash Flow$830.4M
Industry P/E24.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.1
Support$23.62
Resistance$27.36
MA 20$25.53
MA 50$26.58
MA 200$29.27
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.96

Valuation

Fair Value$42.93
Target Price$36.82
Upside/Downside45.01%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.82
Volatility40.01%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.