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GLRE:NASDAQGreenlight Reinsurance, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$17.93

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE) is trading at $17.93, comfortably above the calculated support of $16.90 and below resistance at $19.26, with the 20‑day SMA ($18.07) sitting just above the current price, indicating a near‑term pull‑back within an overall bullish framework (20‑day SMA > 50‑day SMA > 200‑day SMA).
The stock appears deeply undervalued: its trailing P/E of 7.6 is less than half the industry average of 16.7, the price‑to‑book ratio of 0.81 is below 1.0, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $109.9 suggests a massive upside potential. Recent Q1 2026 results showed a strong combined ratio of 96%, net income of $35.8 million and earnings of $1.05 per share, accompanied by a $5 million share repurchase, reinforcing the company’s cash generation despite a –6.9% revenue decline. With a low beta of 0.45, stable volume, and a solid balance sheet (cash $75 M vs debt $7.7 M), the risk‑adjusted profile is attractive, though the 30‑day volatility of 23.5% and a max drawdown of ~20% warrant caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bullish SMA hierarchy
  • Q1 earnings beat and share buyback signal confidence
  • Low beta and stable volume reduce immediate downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap (P/E, P/B, DCF) suggests upside
  • Improved combined ratio and profitability trend
  • Strong balance sheet with ample cash and low leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue contraction (-6.9%) limits growth potential
  • Reinsurance sector exposure to underwriting cycles
  • Potential for continued share price appreciation if valuation re‑ratings occur

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.90%
Profit Margin11.45%
P/E Ratio7.6
ROE11.50%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity1.04
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$237.1M
Free Cash Flow$275.6M
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.2
Support$16.90
Resistance$19.26
MA 20$18.07
MA 50$17.46
MA 200$14.33
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

Fair Value$109.87
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.45
Volatility23.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.