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GLRE:NASDAQGreenlight Reinsurance, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-06 - not real-time

$15.53

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE) trades around $15.53, comfortably above the calculated support of $14.58 but still below the 20‑day SMA of $16.69 and the 50‑day SMA of $17.53, indicating a modest downside cushion. The RSI of 35 points to a mildly oversold condition, while the MACD remains bearish, suggesting limited short‑term upside momentum. Volatility is elevated at roughly 27% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.28 signals that the stock moves far less than the broader market, reducing systemic risk. Fundamentally, the company appears deeply discounted – a trailing P/E of 6.6 versus an industry average of 17, a price‑to‑book of 0.71 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.73, all well under peer norms. Cash generation is robust, with $75 M in cash, $2.4 B operating cash flow and $275 M free cash flow, while leverage is modest (debt‑to‑equity ~1.0). The recent Q1 2026 earnings beat, a combined ratio improvement to 96% and a $5 M share repurchase reinforce confidence in profitability. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $111.7 suggests a valuation gap that may not be fully captured by current market sentiment, and the absence of a dividend eliminates income‑focused appeal.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with limited upside momentum
  • Bearish MACD and modest oversold RSI
  • Recent earnings beat and share repurchase provide short‑term cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation discount relative to peers and DCF fair value
  • Strong cash flow generation and low leverage
  • Improved combined ratio and ongoing share repurchases

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable profitability with ROE >11% and positive free cash flow
  • Low beta and defensive insurance business model
  • Long‑term upside potential if market re‑prices the large valuation gap

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.90%
Profit Margin11.45%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE11.50%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity1.04
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$237.1M
Free Cash Flow$275.6M
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI35.4
Support$14.58
Resistance$18.11
MA 20$16.69
MA 50$17.53
MA 200$14.54
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

Fair Value$111.70
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility27.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.