GLRE:NASDAQGreenlight Reinsurance, Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$17.93
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE) is trading at $17.93, comfortably above the calculated support of $16.90 and below resistance at $19.26, with the 20‑day SMA ($18.07) sitting just above the current price, indicating a near‑term pull‑back within an overall bullish framework (20‑day SMA > 50‑day SMA > 200‑day SMA).
The stock appears deeply undervalued: its trailing P/E of 7.6 is less than half the industry average of 16.7, the price‑to‑book ratio of 0.81 is below 1.0, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $109.9 suggests a massive upside potential. Recent Q1 2026 results showed a strong combined ratio of 96%, net income of $35.8 million and earnings of $1.05 per share, accompanied by a $5 million share repurchase, reinforcing the company’s cash generation despite a –6.9% revenue decline. With a low beta of 0.45, stable volume, and a solid balance sheet (cash $75 M vs debt $7.7 M), the risk‑adjusted profile is attractive, though the 30‑day volatility of 23.5% and a max drawdown of ~20% warrant caution.
The stock appears deeply undervalued: its trailing P/E of 7.6 is less than half the industry average of 16.7, the price‑to‑book ratio of 0.81 is below 1.0, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $109.9 suggests a massive upside potential. Recent Q1 2026 results showed a strong combined ratio of 96%, net income of $35.8 million and earnings of $1.05 per share, accompanied by a $5 million share repurchase, reinforcing the company’s cash generation despite a –6.9% revenue decline. With a low beta of 0.45, stable volume, and a solid balance sheet (cash $75 M vs debt $7.7 M), the risk‑adjusted profile is attractive, though the 30‑day volatility of 23.5% and a max drawdown of ~20% warrant caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bullish SMA hierarchy
- Q1 earnings beat and share buyback signal confidence
- Low beta and stable volume reduce immediate downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap (P/E, P/B, DCF) suggests upside
- Improved combined ratio and profitability trend
- Strong balance sheet with ample cash and low leverage
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue contraction (-6.9%) limits growth potential
- Reinsurance sector exposure to underwriting cycles
- Potential for continued share price appreciation if valuation re‑ratings occur
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-6.90%
Profit Margin11.45%
P/E Ratio7.6
ROE11.50%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity1.04
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$237.1M
Free Cash Flow$275.6M
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI53.2
Support$16.90
Resistance$19.26
MA 20$18.07
MA 50$17.46
MA 200$14.33
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.61
Valuation
Fair Value$109.87
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.45
Volatility23.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.