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GLP:NYSEGlobal Partners LP Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time

$49.62

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Global Partners LP is trading at $49.62, comfortably above its 20‑day (≈$48.7) and 50‑day (≈$47.0) moving averages and also north of the 200‑day level, indicating a sustained bullish price backdrop. The RSI sits in the mid‑50s, the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, while volume has been on an upward trend, all of which reinforce the current bullish momentum. Recent earnings surprised the market, with adjusted earnings per unit beating expectations and operating margin expanding to roughly 2%, underpinning the price strength.
On the valuation side, GLP’s trailing P/E of ~13.8 is well below the Oil & Gas Midstream industry average of ~21.6, suggesting the stock is priced on the cheaper side of its peers. However, a dividend yield of over 6% is supported by a high payout ratio (~84%) and a leverage profile (debt‑to‑equity >300%) that raises questions about long‑term dividend sustainability. The company’s cash flow remains positive, but modest profit margins and elevated debt warrant caution for long‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup (price above key SMAs, positive MACD)
  • Earnings beat and margin expansion
  • Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to industry peers
  • Strong cash flow offset by high leverage
  • Potential pressure on dividend if debt remains elevated

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Stable sector fundamentals for midstream assets
  • Dividend income appeal balanced against payout ratio risk
  • Debt load and thin profit margins limit upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.90%
Profit Margin0.67%
P/E Ratio13.8
ROE21.24%
ROA4.31%
Debt/Equity315.43
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$231.7M
Free Cash Flow$82.6M
Industry P/E21.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI56.2
Support$45.60
Resistance$52.00
MA 20$48.68
MA 50$46.99
MA 200$46.63
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.64

Valuation

Target Price$45.50
Upside/Downside-8.30%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.36
Volatility24.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.