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GLOO:NASDAQGloo Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$5.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Gloo Holdings (GLOO) is trading at $5, well under its 20‑day SMA of $6.53, 50‑day SMA of $6.10 and 200‑day SMA of $6.34, with a bearish MACD and an RSI of 33.6 indicating oversold conditions. Despite the technical softness, the stock carries a forward P/E of 55.6, markedly higher than the software‑application industry average of 38, and a price‑to‑book of nearly 3×, suggesting it is currently overvalued relative to earnings expectations. High 30‑day volatility (≈120%) and a decreasing volume trend add to the short‑term uncertainty, while a beta of 0.79 points to lower systematic risk.
Fundamentally, GLOO reports modest revenue growth (~4%) but deep losses (operating margin –105%, profit margin –166%) and negative cash flows, offset by a net cash position of $13M after debt. The recent acquisition of EnterpriseMarketdesk (EMD) adds AI‑enabled Workday services, offering a potential growth catalyst and a forward EPS of $0.09, yet the turnaround risk remains high.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages and bearish MACD
  • High forward P/E relative to industry
  • Decreasing volume and elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Potential revenue lift from the EMD acquisition
  • Positive forward EPS outlook despite current losses
  • Net cash cushion mitigating near‑term liquidity concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Niche focus on faith‑based organizations could sustain a differentiated market
  • Long‑run profitability hinges on successful integration of AI‑enabled services
  • Current valuation may compress if turnaround materializes

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth417.70%
Profit Margin-165.99%
P/E Ratio55.6
ROE-185.03%
ROA-35.17%
Debt/Equity28.09
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow$-80499000
Free Cash Flow$-50239752
Industry P/E38.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI33.6
Support$4.99
Resistance$7.95
MA 20$6.53
MA 50$6.10
MA 200$6.34
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Valuation

Target Price$13.00
Upside/Downside160.00%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.79
Volatility119.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.