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GLCR:NASDAQGlacierShares Nasdaq Iceland ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$23.75

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

GLCR is trading at $23.75, just above its 30‑day support of $23.35 and well below the 30‑day resistance of $26.74, indicating limited upside in the near term. The 20‑day SMA of 25.06 and 50‑day SMA of 25.79 sit marginally above the current price, while the 200‑day SMA of 26.24 remains out of reach, underscoring a bearish bias. RSI‑14 sits at 33.3, well under the 40 threshold, signaling an oversold condition that aligns with the bearish MACD histogram (-0.15) and signal line. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 25.3%, and the maximum drawdown of –18.6% reflects a history of sharp declines. A beta of 0.66 suggests the ETF moves less than the market, yet the Fear/Greed Index at 89.86 (Extreme Greed) points to heightened speculative sentiment. The fund’s expense ratio is modest at 0.95% and tracking error is zero, but the low average daily volume (185) and modest 10‑day average volume (1,160) raise liquidity concerns. Overall, the quantitative picture portrays a bearish, high‑volatility, low‑liquidity environment with sector‑specific concentration risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD signal
  • RSI below 40 indicating oversold momentum
  • price approaching 30‑day support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • zero tracking error and low expense ratio
  • current price modestly above support offering limited upside
  • stable fund structure with no premium/discount drift

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • high sector concentration in Icelandic equities
  • elevated 30‑day volatility and extreme greed sentiment
  • potential for continued downside pressure in a niche market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.95%
AUM$1.6M
Inception Date2025-03-26
Avg Daily Volume1,160
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.3
Support$23.35
Resistance$26.74
MA 20$25.06
MA 50$25.79
MA 200$26.24
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta0.66
Volatility25.31%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.