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GJO:NYSESynthetic Fixed-Income Securities, Inc. on behalf of STRATS(SM) Trust for Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. Securities, Series 2004- Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-08 - not real-time

$24.80

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Strats Trust Wal Mart Stores Inc. STRT CTF 05-4 is priced at $24.80 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. RSI sits at 58.0, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. The recent range runs from support at $24.30 up to resistance at $24.97.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 5.1% and a beta of 0.03, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — sell short-term against hold longer out, with 3/10 conviction on the long call.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 24.82
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 24.82
  • MACD momentum is positive

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • 30-day volatility of 5.1%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI58.0
Support$24.30
Resistance$24.97
MA 20$24.69
MA 50$24.75
MA 200$24.82
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.82

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility5.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.