We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

GILD:NASDAQGilead Sciences, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$130.50

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Gilead Sciences (GILD) trades at $130.5, comfortably above its 200‑day SMA ($128.0) but below the 20‑day ($131.8) and 50‑day ($136.7) averages, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a neutral trend. Technicals are mixed: RSI sits at 42 (neutral), MACD shows a bullish histogram (+0.02) and the stock sits near its $127.64 support with resistance at $137.5. The company delivered an 8% YoY revenue increase to $6.8 B in Q1 2026, driven by solid HIV product sales, while COVID‑19 treatment revenue has tapered off. Fundamentals remain strong – a 44% revenue growth rate, 79% gross margin, ROE of 43%, and a dividend yield of 2.53% with a modest 43% payout, suggesting cash‑flow sustainability. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $89.9 is far below the market price, flagging the stock as overvalued despite analyst consensus (Buy) and a median target of $160, implying a 20% upside relative to current levels. The market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” territory (FGI 89), which may be inflating price expectations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support and below short‑term moving averages
  • Q1 revenue growth and stable dividend yield
  • Neutral market sentiment despite high FGI

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong pipeline in HIV, oncology and inflammation
  • Analyst consensus (Buy) with median target $160
  • Sustainable cash flow and dividend supporting total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High valuation relative to DCF fair value
  • Robust profitability metrics and low beta (0.52) offering defensive qualities
  • Ongoing regulatory and product development risk in oncology

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.40%
Profit Margin30.99%
P/E Ratio17.8
ROE43.36%
ROA13.29%
Debt/Equity94.64
P/B Ratio7.1
Op. Cash Flow$10.8B
Free Cash Flow$7.9B
Industry P/E27.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.2
Support$127.64
Resistance$137.50
MA 20$131.82
MA 50$136.74
MA 200$128.02
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Valuation

Fair Value$89.94
Target Price$157.57
Upside/Downside20.74%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.53%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.52
Volatility21.46%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.