GFL:TSXGFL Environmental Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time
CA$57.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
GFL Environmental Inc. trades at CAD 57.70, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. It has gained 4.9% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 52.8 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. The recent range runs from support at CAD 56.19 up to resistance at CAD 60.09.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 45.8 times earnings against the sector's 28.6. Consensus targets land 23.4% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 16.3% on a -2.9% profit margin. The 0.16% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 28.2%, a beta of 0.04 and a maximum drawdown of 32.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 45.8 times earnings against the sector's 28.6. Consensus targets land 23.4% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 16.3% on a -2.9% profit margin. The 0.16% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 28.2%, a beta of 0.04 and a maximum drawdown of 32.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.
Top Market Events
Revenue, Adjusted EBITDA1 and Adjusted Free Cash Flow1 all ahead of expectations Underlying Adjusted EBITDA margin1...GFL Environmental Inc. GFL shares are tumbling on Monday as the company announced its acquisition of SECURE Waste...GFL Environmental Inc. NYSE: GFL TSX: GFL "GFL" or the "Company" today announced that it will release its 2026 second...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 56.73
- MACD momentum is negative
- Maximum drawdown of 32.4%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 45.8 versus sector average of 28.6
- Trading above the 200-day average of 56.73
- Analyst targets imply +23.4% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 45.8 versus sector average of 28.6
- Negative profit margin of -2.9%
- Analyst targets imply +23.4% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.30%
Profit Margin-2.87%
P/E Ratio45.8
ROE-2.25%
ROA1.26%
Debt/Equity134.49
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash FlowCA$1.4B
Free Cash FlowCA$328.6M
Industry P/E28.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.8
SupportCA$56.19
ResistanceCA$60.09
MA 20CA$57.51
MA 50CA$56.11
MA 200CA$56.73
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.25
Valuation
Target PriceCA$71.18
Upside/Downside23.37%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.16%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.04
Volatility28.19%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.