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GEBN:SIXGeberit AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time

CHF 505.20

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Geberit AG is currently trading well below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, with technical indicators pointing to a bearish momentum. The RSI sits in the oversold region and the MACD line remains beneath its signal, suggesting continued downside pressure toward the identified support area. At the same time, the stock carries a respectable dividend yield, but the payout ratio is relatively high and free cash flow is flat, raising questions about the sustainability of the dividend. Valuation models place the fair value far below the market price, indicating that the shares are priced at a premium relative to intrinsic estimates, while analyst consensus remains neutral.
The company’s strong brand and broad geographic footprint provide a solid defensive foundation, yet the combination of elevated valuation, modest growth prospects, and a bearish technical backdrop suggests caution. Investors should weigh the attractive yield against the risk of further price declines and consider the limited upside potential implied by current price targets.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price below key moving averages
  • bearish MACD and oversold RSI
  • valuation premium to intrinsic value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • stable dividend yield
  • broad international exposure
  • moderate valuation gap with target price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • strong brand and market position
  • sustainable cash flow generation
  • potential for dividend adjustments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.60%
Profit Margin19.20%
P/E Ratio28.0
Debt/Equity89.30
P/B Ratio11.0
Op. Cash FlowCHF826.7M
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.7
SupportCHF 490.50
ResistanceCHF 562.00
MA 20CHF 526.71
MA 50CHF 540.33
MA 200CHF 595.49
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.09

Valuation

Fair ValueCHF 208.29
Target PriceCHF 562.82
Upside/Downside11.41%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.57%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility23.93%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.