GD:NYSEGeneral Dynamics Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
$342.89
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
General Dynamics (GD) trades near its 20‑day SMA, with the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs essentially flat, signaling a neutral price trend. The MACD histogram remains positive and the RSI sits around the 50‑point mid‑range, suggesting limited downside pressure while the market sentiment index is in "Extreme Greed" territory. Fundamentally, the stock appears undervalued – its forward P/E of ~19 is well below the industry average of ~30, and the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $370 implies about a 14% upside from the current $342 price. Revenue growth of just over 10% YoY, a robust order backlog exceeding $26 billion, and a sustainable dividend yield of 1.78% with a 38% payout further bolster the case.
Defense spending is accelerating, providing a tailwind for GD’s four business segments, while the company’s low beta (~0.5) and solid cash generation reduce market‑risk exposure. However, decreasing volume and a 30‑day volatility near 29% signal heightened short‑term price swings. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation, growth prospects, and defensive sector dynamics makes GD a compelling buy for medium‑ to long‑term horizons, with a cautious hold stance in the immediate term.
Defense spending is accelerating, providing a tailwind for GD’s four business segments, while the company’s low beta (~0.5) and solid cash generation reduce market‑risk exposure. However, decreasing volume and a 30‑day volatility near 29% signal heightened short‑term price swings. Overall, the blend of attractive valuation, growth prospects, and defensive sector dynamics makes GD a compelling buy for medium‑ to long‑term horizons, with a cautious hold stance in the immediate term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical trend with price hugging the 20‑day SMA
- Positive MACD but decreasing volume indicating possible consolidation
- Elevated short‑term volatility (~29% 30‑day)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to peers (PE ~21 vs industry ~30)
- DCF upside of ~14% and strong order backlog
- Sustained revenue growth and solid cash flow generation
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term defense spending surge supporting all segments
- Stable dividend yield with low payout ratio
- Low beta and strong balance sheet reducing systemic risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.30%
Profit Margin8.07%
P/E Ratio21.6
ROE17.97%
ROA6.00%
Debt/Equity37.70
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow$7.4B
Free Cash Flow$5.3B
Industry P/E29.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.6
Support$306.77
Resistance$353.57
MA 20$340.32
MA 50$341.58
MA 200$341.21
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.66
Valuation
Fair Value$370.07
Target Price$391.55
Upside/Downside14.19%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.78%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.53
Volatility28.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.