GBX:NYSEGreenbrier Companies, Inc. (The) Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-17 - not real-time
$45.44
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. trades at $45.44, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 4.4%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 36.5 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $45.26 and resistance at $52.49.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 13.4 times earnings below a sector average of 30.9. Revenue is contracting at 31.6% on a 4.1% profit margin. The 2.96% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 38.0%, a beta of 0.54 and a maximum drawdown of 22.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 13.4 times earnings below a sector average of 30.9. Revenue is contracting at 31.6% on a 4.1% profit margin. The 2.96% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 38.0%, a beta of 0.54 and a maximum drawdown of 22.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.
Top Market Events
Greenbrier Companies stock has delivered a 36.GBX beats fiscal Q3 earnings estimates, but its shares slide after the results as the company narrows its 2026 EPS...Yahoo Finance1monGreenbrier Companies, Inc.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 49.15
- MACD momentum is negative
- Maximum drawdown of 22.8%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 13.4 versus sector average of 30.9
- Trading below the 200-day average of 49.15
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 13.4 versus sector average of 30.9
- Revenue contracting at -31.6%
- Negative free cash flow
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-31.60%
Profit Margin4.07%
P/E Ratio13.4
ROE6.34%
ROA2.22%
Debt/Equity108.75
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$106.1M
Free Cash Flow$-164687504
Industry P/E30.9
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI36.5
Support$45.26
Resistance$52.49
MA 20$48.97
MA 50$48.61
MA 200$49.15
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.98
Valuation
Target Price$45.33
Upside/Downside-0.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.96%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility37.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.