GBK:KSEGulf Bank K.S.C. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
SEK 1.54
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical snapshot: The stock trades at 1.54 SEK, comfortably above the 20‑day (1.30 SEK) and 50‑day (1.31 SEK) SMAs but still below the 200‑day SMA (1.73 SEK), indicating short‑term momentum yet long‑term weakness. The RSI of 62.9 signals bullish pressure, and the MACD histogram is positive with a bullish signal line, yet the computed trend direction is listed as bearish. Volume is increasing and volatility is extreme at ~95 % over 30 days, underscoring a choppy market environment.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue has slumped 38 % year‑over‑year, margins are deep in the red (operating margin –17.9 %, profit margin –19.9 %), and EPS remains negative (‑0.94 trailing, ‑0.70 forward). Cash holdings (≈10 M SEK) barely cover debt (≈10.6 M SEK) and free cash flow is negative, while book value per share is also negative (‑0.80 SEK). The forward PE is –2.21 and price‑to‑book is –1.93, reflecting a market price that is not justified by earnings or asset value. No dividend is paid, and the max drawdown sits at –54 %.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue has slumped 38 % year‑over‑year, margins are deep in the red (operating margin –17.9 %, profit margin –19.9 %), and EPS remains negative (‑0.94 trailing, ‑0.70 forward). Cash holdings (≈10 M SEK) barely cover debt (≈10.6 M SEK) and free cash flow is negative, while book value per share is also negative (‑0.80 SEK). The forward PE is –2.21 and price‑to‑book is –1.93, reflecting a market price that is not justified by earnings or asset value. No dividend is paid, and the max drawdown sits at –54 %.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bearish longer‑term trend despite short‑term SMA crossover
- Negative earnings and cash flow with high volatility
- Price below 200‑day SMA and extreme drawdown history
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from improving volume and bullish MACD
- Significant revenue decline and margin pressure remain
- High volatility may create price swings but no clear catalyst yet
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Structural industry demand for VR and visual effects could revive growth
- Persistent negative profitability and weak balance sheet
- Low beta suggests limited systematic market risk, but company‑specific risk stays high
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-37.90%
Profit Margin-19.97%
P/E Ratio-2.2
ROA-40.31%
P/B Ratio-1.9
Op. Cash FlowSEK-15312000
Free Cash FlowSEK-4382375
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI62.9
SupportSEK 1.06
ResistanceSEK 1.89
MA 20SEK 1.30
MA 50SEK 1.31
MA 200SEK 1.73
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.07
Volatility95.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.