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GARY:NASDAQMango Growth ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

$26.44

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Mango Growth ETF (GARY) has posted a robust YTD gain of ~29% since its December 2025 launch, outpacing many peers. Its price of $26.44 sits above the 20‑day SMA (25.85) and the 50‑day SMA (24.51), confirming a bullish alignment, while the 200‑day SMA (22.82) remains well below, underscoring a longer‑term uptrend. Momentum indicators are mixed: RSI at 60 suggests continued buying pressure but not yet overbought, whereas the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative, hinting at a short‑term pullback. The ETF is trading near its technical resistance at $27, with a solid support level around $24.52, indicating that a break above resistance could unlock further upside.
Volatility remains elevated at roughly 24.6% over the past 30 days and a beta of 1.31 signals sensitivity to market swings, which together raise the risk profile. The expense ratio of 0.77% is higher than many low‑cost ETFs, adding a drag on long‑term returns. Nonetheless, stable trading volume and a zero tracking error suggest good liquidity and faithful index replication. With the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 92.1), investor appetite for growth assets is strong, supporting a cautiously optimistic stance on GARY.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just below resistance at $27
  • Negative MACD histogram indicating short‑term weakness
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD return of ~29% since inception
  • Price comfortably above 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • Bullish market sentiment reflected in Extreme Greed index

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Higher beta (1.31) and volatility suggest sensitivity to market cycles
  • Expense ratio of 0.77% may erode returns over time
  • Consistent tracking with zero error and stable liquidity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.77%
AUM$281.4M
Inception Date2025-12-19
Avg Daily Volume7,090
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.2
Support$24.52
Resistance$27.00
MA 20$25.85
MA 50$24.51
MA 200$22.82
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.13

Risk Assessment

Beta1.31
Volatility24.63%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.