GARY:NASDAQMango Growth ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$26.44
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Mango Growth ETF (GARY) has posted a robust YTD gain of ~29% since its December 2025 launch, outpacing many peers. Its price of $26.44 sits above the 20‑day SMA (25.85) and the 50‑day SMA (24.51), confirming a bullish alignment, while the 200‑day SMA (22.82) remains well below, underscoring a longer‑term uptrend. Momentum indicators are mixed: RSI at 60 suggests continued buying pressure but not yet overbought, whereas the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative, hinting at a short‑term pullback. The ETF is trading near its technical resistance at $27, with a solid support level around $24.52, indicating that a break above resistance could unlock further upside.
Volatility remains elevated at roughly 24.6% over the past 30 days and a beta of 1.31 signals sensitivity to market swings, which together raise the risk profile. The expense ratio of 0.77% is higher than many low‑cost ETFs, adding a drag on long‑term returns. Nonetheless, stable trading volume and a zero tracking error suggest good liquidity and faithful index replication. With the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 92.1), investor appetite for growth assets is strong, supporting a cautiously optimistic stance on GARY.
Volatility remains elevated at roughly 24.6% over the past 30 days and a beta of 1.31 signals sensitivity to market swings, which together raise the risk profile. The expense ratio of 0.77% is higher than many low‑cost ETFs, adding a drag on long‑term returns. Nonetheless, stable trading volume and a zero tracking error suggest good liquidity and faithful index replication. With the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 92.1), investor appetite for growth assets is strong, supporting a cautiously optimistic stance on GARY.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just below resistance at $27
- Negative MACD histogram indicating short‑term weakness
- Elevated 30‑day volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD return of ~29% since inception
- Price comfortably above 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
- Bullish market sentiment reflected in Extreme Greed index
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Higher beta (1.31) and volatility suggest sensitivity to market cycles
- Expense ratio of 0.77% may erode returns over time
- Consistent tracking with zero error and stable liquidity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.77%
AUM$281.4M
Inception Date2025-12-19
Avg Daily Volume7,090
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.2
Support$24.52
Resistance$27.00
MA 20$25.85
MA 50$24.51
MA 200$22.82
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.13
Risk Assessment
Beta1.31
Volatility24.63%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.