GAIL:NSEGAIL (India) Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
₹174.10
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
GAIL (India) Limited is trading at ₹174.1, comfortably above its 20‑day (₹169.19), 50‑day (₹164.61) and 200‑day (₹167.86) moving averages, with a bullish MACD crossover and a RSI of 61 indicating continued momentum without being overbought. The stock offers an attractive 7.19% dividend yield and a modest payout ratio of 52%, supported by solid operating cash flow and a free cash flow generation of ₹12.97 bn. Valuation metrics are compelling: a trailing PE of 15 versus the industry average of 20, and a forward PE of just 9.75, suggesting the market is pricing in upside potential of roughly 5.4% to the consensus target of ₹183.45. However, the balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 27.8, though cash reserves of ₹21.27 bn and a low beta of 0.38 mitigate immediate financial stress.
The 30‑day volatility of 27% and decreasing volume hint at a cautious market environment, yet the regulated utilities sector provides stable cash flows and limited sector risk. With a forward EPS outlook improving to ₹17.85 and ongoing diversification into renewable energy, GAIL appears positioned for steady, dividend‑driven returns while the current price reflects a modest undervaluation relative to peers.
The 30‑day volatility of 27% and decreasing volume hint at a cautious market environment, yet the regulated utilities sector provides stable cash flows and limited sector risk. With a forward EPS outlook improving to ₹17.85 and ongoing diversification into renewable energy, GAIL appears positioned for steady, dividend‑driven returns while the current price reflects a modest undervaluation relative to peers.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
- High dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Undervalued relative to industry PE
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward PE of 9.75 indicating strong earnings upside
- Stable regulated gas business supporting cash flow
- Consensus target price provides ~6% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term natural gas demand and renewable expansion
- High debt level warrants monitoring
- Consistent dividend income and low beta reduce volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.40%
Profit Margin5.36%
P/E Ratio15.1
ROE8.69%
ROA3.50%
Debt/Equity27.81
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow₹112.5B
Free Cash Flow₹13.0B
Industry P/E20.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI61.3
Support₹161.18
Resistance₹178.20
MA 20₹169.19
MA 50₹164.61
MA 200₹167.86
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Target Price₹183.45
Upside/Downside5.37%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.19%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.38
Volatility27.35%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.