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G1A:XETRGEA Group Aktiengesellschaft Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-10 - not real-time

CHF 50.35

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

GEA Group AG is trading at CHF 50.35, well below its 20‑day (CHF 51.21), 50‑day (CHF 55.11) and 200‑day (CHF 55.83) moving averages, signaling a deep technical pull‑back. The RSI of 6 indicates extreme oversold conditions, while the MACD line has just crossed above its signal, generating a bullish histogram. Coupled with a PE ratio of 21.4 versus an industry average of 30.5 and a dividend yield of 2.37 %, the stock appears materially undervalued on a value basis.
Fundamentally, GEA delivered a record Q1 EBITDA margin of 16.2 %, modest revenue growth of 1.2 % and a solid ROE of 16.6 %. Despite a recent post‑earnings price dip of about 8 %, the company remains cash‑rich (CHF 416 M cash vs CHF 251 M debt) and is generating healthy free cash flow. The high 30‑day volatility (~23 %) and a negative beta (~‑0.34) suggest price swings are more company‑specific than market‑driven, while the “Extreme Greed” market sentiment adds a layer of optimism.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Extreme oversold RSI and bullish MACD cross
  • Attractive dividend yield relative to peers
  • Technical support at current price level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Steady cash generation and net cash position
  • Moderate revenue growth and strong order intake
  • Potential upside toward resistance around CHF 54.4

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Durable market position in food, beverage and pharma equipment
  • Consistently high ROE and solid dividend sustainability
  • Undervaluation relative to industry multiples

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.20%
Profit Margin7.61%
P/E Ratio21.4
ROE16.65%
ROA6.44%
Debt/Equity9.68
Op. Cash FlowCHF624.8M
Free Cash FlowCHF274.8M
Industry P/E30.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI6.1
SupportCHF 50.35
ResistanceCHF 54.40
MA 20CHF 51.21
MA 50CHF 55.11
MA 200CHF 55.83
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index84.16

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.37%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.34
Volatility23.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.