FYX:NASDAQFirst Trust Small Cap Core AlphaDEX Fund Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-16 - not real-time
$142.03
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FYX is trading at $142.03, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 140.90 and 50‑day SMA of 136.54, confirming a bullish price trend despite a bearish MACD histogram signal. The RSI sits at 59.8, indicating the fund is neither overbought nor oversold, while support at 136.24 and resistance near 145.45 frame the near‑term price range. Volume has been decreasing, yet daily volume (~29,500) remains above the 10‑day average, suggesting sufficient liquidity for short‑term positioning. Volatility of 15.8% over the past 30 days and a beta of 1.06 point to modestly higher risk than the broader market, but the fund’s max drawdown of only 7.55% limits downside exposure. The expense ratio of 0.58% is in line with peer smart‑beta ETFs, and the tracking error is effectively zero, indicating tight index replication. FYX delivered a strong YTD return of 28.1% and benefits from an “Extreme Greed” sentiment reading of 92.7 on the Fear & Greed Index, reflecting robust market enthusiasm. A quarterly dividend of $0.4369 (≈0.89% yield) was announced, adding a modest income component. Overall, the fund’s blend of small‑cap growth exposure, solid recent performance, and disciplined tracking makes it attractive for investors seeking upside with controlled risk.
In the short term, the bullish SMA alignment and supportive price action suggest a hold stance, while the bearish MACD and waning volume temper aggressive buying. Over the medium horizon, the strong YTD momentum, low tracking error, and favorable market sentiment support a buy recommendation. For the long term, the fund’s moderate expense ratio, modest beta, and limited drawdown provide a stable platform for continued exposure, warranting a hold position.
In the short term, the bullish SMA alignment and supportive price action suggest a hold stance, while the bearish MACD and waning volume temper aggressive buying. Over the medium horizon, the strong YTD momentum, low tracking error, and favorable market sentiment support a buy recommendation. For the long term, the fund’s moderate expense ratio, modest beta, and limited drawdown provide a stable platform for continued exposure, warranting a hold position.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 28.1% YTD return
- Extreme greed sentiment (92.7)
- Zero tracking error
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Expense ratio of 0.58% aligns with peers
- Beta of 1.06 indicating modest market sensitivity
- Max drawdown limited to 7.55%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.58%
AUM$1.4B
Inception Date2007-05-08
Avg Daily Volume24,020
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.89%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.8
Support$136.24
Resistance$145.45
MA 20$140.90
MA 50$136.54
MA 200$122.20
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.7
Risk Assessment
Beta1.06
Volatility15.79%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.