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FYC:NASDAQFirst Trust Small Cap Growth AlphaDEX Fund Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

$119.80

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $119.80, comfortably above its 20‑day ($116.39) and 50‑day ($112.77) simple moving averages, indicating a short‑term uptrend. The 200‑day SMA sits at $100.18, reinforcing a multi‑month bullish bias. Momentum gauges are positive: the RSI is 62.7, the MACD histogram is above zero and the MACD signal is bullish. Price action remains within a tight range, with a near‑term support at $111.52 and resistance at $120.59. Volume has been stable, suggesting no sudden liquidity shocks. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” at 91.45, reflecting strong market optimism. Despite the bullish setup, the RSI edging toward overbought territory warrants caution on further upside.
The fund holds $1.14 billion in assets and charges a modest 0.70 % expense ratio, which is competitive for its niche. Tracking error is zero, meaning the ETF is effectively mirroring its Small‑Cap Growth AlphaDEX benchmark. Beta of 1.45 and a 30‑day volatility of 23.6 % highlight higher sensitivity to market moves than large‑cap peers. The maximum drawdown over the observed period is limited to –10.5 %, indicating relatively restrained downside risk. The underlying strategy is a smart‑beta, rules‑based selection that provides broad exposure to the US small‑cap growth universe. Recent news reiterates the fund’s positioning as a core small‑cap growth vehicle with over a decade of operational history. Combined with the current technical strength, the ETF appears well‑placed for continued outperformance, though investors should monitor volatility and valuation pressures.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance limiting upside
  • RSI approaching overbought levels
  • Stable volume supports current level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical indicators remain bullish
  • Zero tracking error ensures benchmark alignment
  • Competitive expense ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Broad exposure to small‑cap growth sector
  • Established fund with >10 years track record
  • Potential for higher long‑term returns despite volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.70%
AUM$1.1B
Inception Date2011-04-19
Avg Daily Volume64,110
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.07%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI62.7
Support$111.52
Resistance$120.59
MA 20$116.39
MA 50$112.77
MA 200$100.18
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.45

Risk Assessment

Beta1.45
Volatility23.59%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.