FWONA:NASDAQLiberty Media Corporation - Series A Liberty Formula One Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-27 - not real-time
$90.19
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
FWONA is trading above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, which gives the stock a short‑term bullish bias. The RSI sits in the mid‑50s, indicating a neutral momentum environment. However, the MACD histogram has turned negative and the signal line is bearish, hinting at emerging downside pressure. Volume has been trending lower than its recent averages, which may limit the sustainability of any rally. On the fundamentals side, the company is delivering double‑digit revenue growth that outpaces many peers in the entertainment space. Gross and operating margins are modest and net profit margin remains thin, reflecting the capital‑intensive nature of the sport.
The balance sheet shows a high debt load that dwarfs cash, resulting in a debt‑to‑equity ratio well above industry norms. Return on equity and assets sit in the low single digits, indicating limited efficiency in converting earnings to shareholder value. Valuation metrics are stretched, with a price‑to‑earnings multiple roughly two and a half times the sector average and a price‑to‑book well above comparable firms. A discounted cash‑flow model pins intrinsic value near the mid‑$50s, implying a substantial discount to the current market price. The stock’s beta is low, so market swings have a muted impact, but its 30‑day volatility exceeds 25%, pointing to notable price swings. Investor sentiment is at the extreme greed end of the fear‑and‑greed spectrum, which can amplify short‑term price moves.
The balance sheet shows a high debt load that dwarfs cash, resulting in a debt‑to‑equity ratio well above industry norms. Return on equity and assets sit in the low single digits, indicating limited efficiency in converting earnings to shareholder value. Valuation metrics are stretched, with a price‑to‑earnings multiple roughly two and a half times the sector average and a price‑to‑book well above comparable firms. A discounted cash‑flow model pins intrinsic value near the mid‑$50s, implying a substantial discount to the current market price. The stock’s beta is low, so market swings have a muted impact, but its 30‑day volatility exceeds 25%, pointing to notable price swings. Investor sentiment is at the extreme greed end of the fear‑and‑greed spectrum, which can amplify short‑term price moves.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price above key moving averages but bearish MACD signal
- declining volume reducing near‑term momentum
- valuation still stretched relative to peers
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- strong revenue growth supporting earnings expansion
- analyst upside potential toward the high $100s
- brand franchise and global event pipeline
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- persistent high debt and low return ratios
- overvalued pricing relative to discounted cash‑flow
- stable cash‑flow generation from long‑term media contracts
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.30%
Profit Margin5.52%
P/E Ratio39.4
ROE2.73%
ROA2.22%
Debt/Equity59.88
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow$793.0M
Free Cash Flow$654.2M
Industry P/E15.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI55.6
Support$82.95
Resistance$94.50
MA 20$89.97
MA 50$85.49
MA 200$84.40
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.8
Valuation
Fair Value$55.11
Target Price$107.83
Upside/Downside19.56%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.34
Volatility25.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.